Sport Picks
Oliveira Hospital vs Os Marialvas
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 
Match Events
27'
27'
Oliveira M.
45'
45'
Adebanjo J. O.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
15%
38%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oliveira Hospital
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Os Marialvas haven't matched Oliveira Hospital's recent run of results.
- Model gives Os Marialvas a 38% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Oliveira Hospital have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Oliveira Hospital Clean Sheet 18%
Os Marialvas Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oliveira Hospital | Os Marialvas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.62 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Os Marialvas vs Oliveira Hospital
1:2
Mar 1, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Oliveira Hospital vs Os Marialvas
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Os Marialvas vs Oliveira Hospital
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oliveira Hospital Compare
Top Goalscorer Oliveira M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Os Marialvas Compare
Top Goalscorer Adebanjo J. O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oliveira Hospital 28 / 100
Os Marialvas 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oliveira Hospital Os Marialvas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Os Marialvas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Oliveira Hospital's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
Oliveira Hospital went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Os Marialvas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Oliveira Hospital VS Os Marialvas
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Oliveira Hospital
(Home) 20 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 2 Juv. Evora
13 Sept
Fatima
0 : 1 Oliveira Hospital
06 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 0 Naval 1893
30 Aug
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 0 GD Sourense
23 Aug
Os Marialvas
1 : 2 Oliveira Hospital
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 2 Juv. Evora
06 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 0 Naval 1893
30 Aug
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 0 GD Sourense
16 Aug
Oliveira Hospital
2 : 3 SB Castelo Branco
31 May
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 1 Malveira
Page 1 of 4
Os Marialvas
(Away) 20 Sept
UD Ovarense
0 : 1 Os Marialvas
13 Sept
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 3 Os Marialvas
06 Sept
Os Marialvas
3 : 0 Fatima
30 Aug
Fornos de Algodres
0 : 4 Os Marialvas
23 Aug
Os Marialvas
1 : 2 Oliveira Hospital
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
UD Ovarense
0 : 1 Os Marialvas
13 Sept
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 3 Os Marialvas
30 Aug
Fornos de Algodres
0 : 4 Os Marialvas
16 Aug
Malveira
0 : 1 Os Marialvas
01 Aug
Sao Joao de Ver
2 : 0 Os Marialvas
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 33:12 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 36:23 | 48 |
| 4 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 43:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 38:27 | 44 |
| 6 | Mortagua FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 23:26 | 39 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:29 | 32 |
| 9 | Lajense | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37:37 | 32 |
| 10 | GD Peniche | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | 30 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:35 | 29 |
| 12 | Marinhense | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 20:38 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico FC | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 33:62 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:48 | 17 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
