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Oliveira Hospital vs SC Lusitania

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Marcelo Machado
67' Event
Oliveira M.
Own Goal
90' Event
Marcelo Machado

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C game between Oliveira Hospital and SC Lusitania finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oliveira Hospital.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Oliveira Hospital
6%
Draws
4%
SC Lusitania
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Oliveira Hospital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Oliveira Hospital carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Oliveira Hospital taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Oliveira Hospital Clean Sheet 68%
SC Lusitania Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oliveira Hospital SC Lusitania
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 12 6
Losses 5 19
Goals Scored 2.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.38 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 2.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Lusitania vs Oliveira Hospital
1:2
Dec 14, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Oliveira Hospital vs SC Lusitania
2:1
May 4, 2025 Liga 3
SC Lusitania vs Oliveira Hospital
2:2
Feb 16, 2025 Liga 3
Oliveira Hospital vs SC Lusitania
1:1
Jan 22, 2025 Liga 3
SC Lusitania vs Oliveira Hospital
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oliveira Hospital Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelo Machado
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

SC Lusitania Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oliveira Hospital 95 / 100
SC Lusitania 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oliveira Hospital SC Lusitania

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Lusitania let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Oliveira Hospital found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Oliveira Hospital remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oliveira Hospital VS SC Lusitania
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.29
88% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 43%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria Sernache26167333:1255
2Oliveira Hospital26148439:1350
3Naval 189326146636:2348
4SB Castelo Branco26144843:2646
5Uniao Da Serra26128638:2744
6Mortagua FC26116923:2639
7Os Marialvas261061033:2836
8Fatima26881027:2932
9Lajense26881037:3732
10GD Peniche26861234:4330
11Samora Correia26851327:3529
12Marinhense26591220:3824
13Electrico FC26541733:6219
14SC Lusitania26451724:4817