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Oliveira Hospital vs SC Lusitania

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Marcelo Machado
67' Event
Oliveira M.
Own Goal
90' Event
Marcelo Machado

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 game between Oliveira Hospital and SC Lusitania finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oliveira Hospital.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Oliveira Hospital
15%
Draws
5%
SC Lusitania
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oliveira Hospital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Oliveira Hospital carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Oliveira Hospital taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Oliveira Hospital Clean Sheet 68%
SC Lusitania Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oliveira Hospital SC Lusitania
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 11 6
Losses 4 19
Goals Scored 1.59 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Lusitania vs Oliveira Hospital
1:2
Dec 14, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Oliveira Hospital vs SC Lusitania
2:1
May 4, 2025 Liga 3
SC Lusitania vs Oliveira Hospital
2:2
Feb 16, 2025 Liga 3
Oliveira Hospital vs SC Lusitania
1:1
Jan 22, 2025 Liga 3
SC Lusitania vs Oliveira Hospital
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oliveira Hospital Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelo Machado
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

SC Lusitania Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oliveira Hospital 95 / 100
SC Lusitania 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oliveira Hospital SC Lusitania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oliveira Hospital Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oliveira Hospital scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: SC Lusitania conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Oliveira Hospital has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Oliveira Hospital VS SC Lusitania
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Oliveira Hospital

(Home)
20 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 2
Juv. Evora
13 Sept
Fatima
0 : 1
Oliveira Hospital
06 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 0
Naval 1893
30 Aug
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 0
GD Sourense
23 Aug
Os Marialvas
1 : 2
Oliveira Hospital
Page 1 of 7

SC Lusitania

(Away)
18 Apr
GD Peniche
5 : 1
SC Lusitania
12 Apr
SC Lusitania
1 : 2
Oliveira Hospital
04 Apr
Marinhense
1 : 1
SC Lusitania
22 Mar
Lajense
3 : 1
SC Lusitania
15 Mar
SC Lusitania
0 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 26 16 7 3 33:12 55
2 Oliveira Hospital 26 14 8 4 39:13 50
3 Naval 1893 26 14 6 6 36:23 48
4 SB Castelo Branco 26 14 4 8 43:26 46
5 Uniao Da Serra 26 12 8 6 38:27 44
6 Mortagua FC 26 11 6 9 23:26 39
7 Os Marialvas 26 10 6 10 33:28 36
8 Fatima 26 8 8 10 27:29 32
9 Lajense 26 8 8 10 37:37 32
10 GD Peniche 26 8 6 12 34:43 30
11 Samora Correia 26 8 5 13 27:35 29
12 Marinhense 26 5 9 12 20:38 24
13 Electrico FC 26 5 4 17 33:62 19
14 SC Lusitania 26 4 5 17 24:48 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)