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Olivenza CP vs Moralo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010 game between Olivenza CP and Moralo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Olivenza CP
35%
Draws
45%
Moralo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Moralo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Olivenza CP haven't matched Moralo's recent run of results.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Olivenza CP Clean Sheet 18%
Moralo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olivenza CP Moralo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 17
Draws 9 10
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.13 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.87 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza CP vs Moralo
2:3
Nov 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs Olivenza CP
2:2
Feb 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza CP vs Moralo
1:1
Oct 11, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs Olivenza CP
0:2
Jan 18, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs Olivenza CP
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olivenza CP 32 / 100
Moralo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olivenza CP Moralo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moralo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Olivenza CP scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Olivenza CP stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Moralo has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Moralo
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Olivenza CP

(Home)
25 Jul
Olivenza CP
2 : 5
Don Benito
14 May
Olivenza CP
1 : 1
Miajadas
08 May
UP Plasencia
1 : 0
Olivenza CP
30 Apr
Olivenza CP
1 : 1
Diter Zafra
21 Apr
Imperio Merida
1 : 4
Olivenza CP
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Moralo

(Away)
04 Oct
Moralo
1 : 1
Gevora
27 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1
Moralo
20 Sept
Moralo
2 : 0
CD Zafra
13 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 3
Moralo
06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1
Villanovense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Badajoz 38 32 5 1 109:19 101
2 Jerez CF 38 27 8 3 77:14 89
3 Extremadura UD 38 24 7 7 77:26 79
4 Arroyo 38 22 8 8 72:43 74
5 Merida UD 38 21 9 8 55:28 72
6 Sp. Villanueva 38 18 13 7 71:50 67
7 Ciduad de Plasencia 38 16 9 13 54:49 57
8 Don Benito 38 15 8 15 48:50 53
9 Sanvicenteno 38 13 12 13 47:49 51
10 Imperio Merida 38 11 14 13 59:56 47
11 Olivenza CP 38 12 11 15 34:45 47
12 Miajadas 38 12 8 18 28:42 44
13 UD Badajoz 38 12 7 19 54:68 43
14 Moralo 38 12 7 19 40:52 43
15 Valdelacalzada 38 9 13 16 35:54 40
16 CD Coria 38 8 10 20 50:76 34
17 CD Santa Marta 38 8 7 23 43:70 31
18 Montehermoso 38 8 6 24 31:79 30
19 La Estrella 38 6 9 23 27:84 27
20 SP Villafranca 38 6 5 27 30:87 23
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)