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Olivenza FC vs CD Calamonte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
da Conceicao Guimaraes M.
27' Event
Hormigo M.
29' Event
Rodriguez P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 game between Olivenza FC and CD Calamonte finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Calamonte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Olivenza FC
15%
Draws
85%
CD Calamonte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Calamonte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Olivenza FC haven't matched CD Calamonte's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on CD Calamonte taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Olivenza FC Clean Sheet 20%
CD Calamonte Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olivenza FC CD Calamonte
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 3 5
Draws 8 13
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 0.8 0.86
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza FC vs CD Calamonte
0:5
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Olivenza FC
2:0
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Olivenza FC
1:0
Nov 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza FC vs CD Calamonte
1:1
Feb 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Olivenza FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olivenza FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

CD Calamonte Compare

Top Goalscorer da Conceicao Guimaraes M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hormigo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olivenza FC 10 / 100
CD Calamonte 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olivenza FC CD Calamonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Calamonte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Calamonte has conceded goals in 78% of their last 36 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

CD Calamonte lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Olivenza FC scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Calamonte
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Olivenza FC

(Home)
11 May
Olivenza FC
0 : 3
Jerez CF
04 May
Santa Amalia
1 : 0
Olivenza FC
27 Apr
Olivenza FC
0 : 5
CD Calamonte
19 Apr
Montijo
6 : 0
Olivenza FC
13 Apr
Olivenza FC
3 : 6
SP Villafranca
Page 1 of 6

CD Calamonte

(Away)
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
CD Calamonte
03 May
CD Calamonte
0 : 3
CD Badajoz
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0
CD Calamonte
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3
Montijo
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1
CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 23 6 5 73:22 75
2 CD Azuaga 34 20 11 3 65:28 71
3 Jaraiz 34 21 6 7 65:40 69
4 AD Llerenense 34 21 5 8 58:28 68
5 CD Badajoz 34 17 12 5 54:20 63
6 CD Diocesano 34 17 7 10 58:38 58
7 Santa Amalia 34 16 6 12 31:31 54
8 Jerez CF 34 14 9 11 50:48 51
9 SP Villafranca 34 14 5 15 55:55 47
10 Moralo 34 13 7 14 52:50 46
11 Montijo 34 11 12 11 35:34 45
12 Pueblonuevo 34 9 9 16 42:71 36
13 CD Calamonte 34 8 9 17 36:48 33
14 Puebla de la Calzada 34 7 11 16 35:56 32
15 Castuera 34 7 8 19 46:64 29
16 CF Trujillo 34 6 10 18 32:63 28
17 Arroyo 34 5 7 22 32:70 22
18 Olivenza FC 34 3 8 23 26:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 (Play Offs)