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Oltrepo vs AC Chieri

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Henry T.
87'
Giammarresi M.
90'
Ozara D.

AI Match Summary

AC Chieri in this Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AC Chieri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Oltrepo
15%
Draws
37%
AC Chieri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oltrepo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Oltrepo have won more games recently than AC Chieri.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Oltrepo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Oltrepo Clean Sheet 68%
AC Chieri Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oltrepo AC Chieri
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 16 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.21 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Oltrepo vs AC Chieri
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Oltrepo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oltrepo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

AC Chieri Compare

Top Goalscorer Henry T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oltrepo 59 / 100
AC Chieri 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oltrepo AC Chieri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oltrepo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oltrepo found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: AC Chieri conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Oltrepo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Oltrepo VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oltrepo

(Home)
16 Sept
Castellanzese
0 : 1
Oltrepo
06 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 1
Oltrepo
03 May
Oltrepo
2 : 1
Brusaporto
26 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 3
Oltrepo
19 Apr
Oltrepo
0 : 3
Sondrio
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AC Chieri

(Away)
11 May
Cairese
2 : 0
AC Chieri
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
AC Chieri
1 : 2
Sanremese
13 Apr
Ligorna
1 : 1
AC Chieri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)