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Oltrepo vs Breno

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Hrom D.
44'
70' Event
Hrom D.

AI Match Summary

Oltrepo in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oltrepo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Oltrepo
30%
Draws
29%
Breno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oltrepo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Oltrepo lately — more wins on the board than Breno.
  • Model gives Oltrepo a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Oltrepo Clean Sheet 68%
Breno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oltrepo Breno
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.07 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Oltrepo vs Breno
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Breno vs Oltrepo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oltrepo Compare

Top Goalscorer Hrom D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Breno Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oltrepo 59 / 100
Breno 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oltrepo Breno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oltrepo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Breno has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Oltrepo's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Oltrepo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oltrepo VS Breno
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Oltrepo

(Home)
06 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 1
Oltrepo
03 May
Oltrepo
2 : 1
Brusaporto
26 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 3
Oltrepo
19 Apr
Oltrepo
0 : 3
Sondrio
11 Apr
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Oltrepo
Page 1 of 6

Breno

(Away)
10 May
Breno
0 : 1
Pavia
03 May
Breno
2 : 1
Villa Valle
26 Apr
Varesina
2 : 2
Breno
19 Apr
Breno
0 : 2
Brusaporto
12 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 1
Breno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)