Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oltrepo vs Brusaporto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Martini N.
90' Event
Infantino A.
90' Event
Lo Monaco M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 game between Oltrepo and Brusaporto finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oltrepo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Oltrepo
15%
Draws
39%
Brusaporto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oltrepo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Oltrepo and Brusaporto close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Oltrepo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Oltrepo Clean Sheet 20%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oltrepo Brusaporto
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Oltrepo vs Brusaporto
2:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Oltrepo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oltrepo Compare

Top Goalscorer Infantino A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lo Monaco M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Brusaporto Compare

Top Goalscorer Martini N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oltrepo 49 / 100
Brusaporto 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oltrepo Brusaporto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oltrepo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oltrepo scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

Brusaporto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Oltrepo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Oltrepo VS Brusaporto
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Oltrepo

(Home)
06 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 1
Oltrepo
03 May
Oltrepo
2 : 1
Brusaporto
26 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 3
Oltrepo
19 Apr
Oltrepo
0 : 3
Sondrio
11 Apr
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Oltrepo
Page 1 of 6

Brusaporto

(Away)
12 Sept
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Tritium
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0
Brusaporto
08 Aug
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
05 Aug
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 0
Brusaporto
03 May
Oltrepo
2 : 1
Brusaporto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)