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Oltrepo vs Lentigione - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Mascanzoni M.
70' Event
de Respinis A.
78' Event
Addiego Mobilio A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Lentigione in this Serie D - Group D matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lentigione.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Oltrepo
15%
Draws
65%
Lentigione
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lentigione

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Lentigione have won more games recently than Oltrepo.
  • Win probability leans Lentigione's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Oltrepo Clean Sheet 11%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oltrepo Lentigione
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 19
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.03 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Oltrepo vs Lentigione
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oltrepo Compare

Top Goalscorer de Respinis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Lentigione Compare

Top Goalscorer Mascanzoni M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oltrepo 10 / 100
Lentigione 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oltrepo Lentigione

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lentigione Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oltrepo found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Lentigione has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Oltrepo has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Oltrepo VS Lentigione
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oltrepo

(Home)
04 Oct
Oltrepo
1 : 2
Lentigione
27 Sept
Pro Sesto
6 : 1
Oltrepo
20 Sept
Oltrepo
0 : 1
Tropical Coriano
16 Sept
Castellanzese
0 : 1
Oltrepo
12 Sept
Oltrepo
0 : 3
Pavia
Page 1 of 6

Lentigione

(Away)
04 Oct
Oltrepo
1 : 2
Lentigione
27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1
Lentigione
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2
Lentigione
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0
Castellanzese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pistoiese 6 6 0 0 17:1 18
2 Pro Sesto 6 4 1 1 17:5 13
3 Pro Patria 6 4 1 1 10:4 13
4 Lentigione 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
5 Castellanzese 6 4 0 2 13:5 12
6 Cittadella Vis Modena 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
7 USD Casatese 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
8 Correggese 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
9 Sant'Angelo 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
10 Pavia 6 1 4 1 5:3 7
11 Varese FC 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
12 Varesina 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
13 Solbiatese 5 1 2 2 2:6 5
14 Tropical Coriano 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
15 Crema 6 1 1 4 4:14 4
16 Arconatese 6 0 3 3 4:13 3
17 Oltrepo 6 1 0 5 4:14 3
18 US Pontedera 5 0 0 5 3:15 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)