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Oltrepo vs Tropical Coriano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Capicchioni L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D game between Oltrepo and Tropical Coriano finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tropical Coriano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Oltrepo
15%
Draws
49%
Tropical Coriano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tropical Coriano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Tropical Coriano haven't matched Oltrepo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tropical Coriano a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Oltrepo Clean Sheet 16%
Tropical Coriano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oltrepo Tropical Coriano
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.03 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Oltrepo vs Tropical Coriano
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oltrepo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Tropical Coriano Compare

Top Goalscorer Capicchioni L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oltrepo 15 / 100
Tropical Coriano 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oltrepo Tropical Coriano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tropical Coriano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Oltrepo scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Tropical Coriano conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Difficult form: Tropical Coriano registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Oltrepo VS Tropical Coriano
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oltrepo

(Home)
04 Oct
Oltrepo
1 : 2
Lentigione
27 Sept
Pro Sesto
6 : 1
Oltrepo
20 Sept
Oltrepo
0 : 1
Tropical Coriano
16 Sept
Castellanzese
0 : 1
Oltrepo
12 Sept
Oltrepo
0 : 3
Pavia
Page 1 of 6

Tropical Coriano

(Away)
20 Sept
Oltrepo
0 : 1
Tropical Coriano
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2
Lentigione
12 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 : 0
Tropical Coriano
06 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 1
Varese FC
10 May
Crema
2 : 0
Tropical Coriano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pistoiese 6 6 0 0 17:1 18
2 Pro Sesto 6 4 1 1 17:5 13
3 Pro Patria 6 4 1 1 10:4 13
4 Lentigione 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
5 Castellanzese 6 4 0 2 13:5 12
6 Cittadella Vis Modena 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
7 USD Casatese 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
8 Correggese 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
9 Sant'Angelo 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
10 Pavia 6 1 4 1 5:3 7
11 Varese FC 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
12 Varesina 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
13 Solbiatese 5 1 2 2 2:6 5
14 Tropical Coriano 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
15 Crema 6 1 1 4 4:14 4
16 Arconatese 6 0 3 3 4:13 3
17 Oltrepo 6 1 0 5 4:14 3
18 US Pontedera 5 0 0 5 3:15 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)