Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
35%
49%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Castellazzo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- OltrepoVoghera have won more games recently than Castellazzo.
- Model gives OltrepoVoghera a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
OltrepoVoghera Clean Sheet 20%
Castellazzo Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | OltrepoVoghera | Castellazzo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 17 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.69 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 21, 2018 Serie D - Group A
OltrepoVoghera vs Castellazzo
2:2
Sep 17, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Castellazzo vs OltrepoVoghera
2:3
Jan 6, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Castellazzo vs OltrepoVoghera
1:3
Sep 6, 2015 Serie D - Group A
OltrepoVoghera vs Castellazzo
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
OltrepoVoghera 42 / 100
Castellazzo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
OltrepoVoghera Castellazzo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Castellazzo conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: OltrepoVoghera scored in 49% of their last 35 outings.
OltrepoVoghera has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
OltrepoVoghera VS Castellazzo
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
OltrepoVoghera
(Home) 05 May
USD Classe 1974
1 : 1 OltrepoVoghera
28 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2 Fiorenzuola
18 Apr
Crema
1 : 0 OltrepoVoghera
14 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2 Ciliverghe Mazzano
07 Apr
Fanfulla
2 : 1 OltrepoVoghera
Page 1 of 7
28 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2 Fiorenzuola
14 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2 Ciliverghe Mazzano
31 Mar
OltrepoVoghera
1 : 2 Reggiana
03 Mar
OltrepoVoghera
1 : 1 Mezzolara
17 Feb
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2 Lentigione
Page 1 of 4
Castellazzo
(Away) 08 Aug
Club Milano
0 : 0 Castellazzo
06 May
AC Chieri
5 : 2 Castellazzo
29 Apr
Castellazzo
0 : 0 Borgaro
22 Apr
Varese
2 : 0 Castellazzo
15 Apr
Borgosesia Calcio
2 : 2 Castellazzo
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Club Milano
0 : 0 Castellazzo
06 May
AC Chieri
5 : 2 Castellazzo
22 Apr
Varese
2 : 0 Castellazzo
15 Apr
Borgosesia Calcio
2 : 2 Castellazzo
29 Mar
Caronnese
5 : 1 Castellazzo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gozzano | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 68:25 | 82 |
| 2 | Como | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 58:27 | 81 |
| 3 | Caronnese | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 62:30 | 74 |
| 4 | AC Chieri | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 64:37 | 71 |
| 5 | Pro Sesto | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 69:43 | 67 |
| 6 | Folgore Caratese | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 45:39 | 56 |
| 7 | Inveruno | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 44:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Borgosesia Calcio | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Arconatese | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 37:46 | 50 |
| 10 | Bra | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 45:51 | 49 |
| 11 | Pavia | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 53:58 | 47 |
| 12 | Borgaro | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 35:44 | 46 |
| 13 | Olginatese | 38 | 9 | 18 | 11 | 37:44 | 45 |
| 14 | Seregno Calcio | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 45:54 | 44 |
| 15 | OltrepoVoghera | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 34:47 | 43 |
| 16 | Casale | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 41:48 | 42 |
| 17 | Varesina | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 33:45 | 41 |
| 18 | Varese | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 47:49 | 40 |
| 19 | Calcio Derthona | 38 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 25:62 | 26 |
| 20 | Castellazzo | 38 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 32:78 | 19 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
