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OltrepoVoghera vs San Marino Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Serie D - Group D 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 game between OltrepoVoghera and San Marino Calcio finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
OltrepoVoghera
20%
Draws
70%
San Marino Calcio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Marino Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Marino Calcio come out ahead of OltrepoVoghera on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
OltrepoVoghera Clean Sheet 27%
San Marino Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OltrepoVoghera San Marino Calcio
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 3 8
Draws 13 10
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.63 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2019 Serie D - Group D
OltrepoVoghera vs San Marino Calcio
0:0
Oct 14, 2018 Serie D - Group D
San Marino Calcio vs OltrepoVoghera
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OltrepoVoghera 33 / 100
San Marino Calcio 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OltrepoVoghera San Marino Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Marino Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marino Calcio let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

OltrepoVoghera scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: OltrepoVoghera remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS San Marino Calcio
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

OltrepoVoghera

(Home)
05 May
USD Classe 1974
1 : 1
OltrepoVoghera
28 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2
Fiorenzuola
18 Apr
Crema
1 : 0
OltrepoVoghera
14 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2
Ciliverghe Mazzano
07 Apr
Fanfulla
2 : 1
OltrepoVoghera
Page 1 of 6

San Marino Calcio

(Away)
17 May
Recanatese
4 : 1
San Marino Calcio
03 May
San Marino Calcio
1 : 0
Sammaurese
26 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2
San Marino Calcio
19 Apr
San Marino Calcio
1 : 3
Teramo
12 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 2
San Marino Calcio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pergolettese 34 22 7 5 62:32 73
2 Modena 34 21 10 3 60:27 73
3 Reggiana 34 19 9 6 57:28 66
4 Fanfulla 34 16 9 9 58:52 57
5 Fiorenzuola 34 16 8 10 52:31 56
6 Crema 34 12 13 9 52:50 49
7 Adrense 34 12 11 11 45:45 47
8 Vigor Carpaneto 34 11 14 9 42:35 47
9 Axys Zola 34 11 8 15 40:45 41
10 Ciliverghe Mazzano 34 11 8 15 38:48 41
11 Lentigione 34 8 15 11 34:36 39
12 Desenzano Calvina 34 8 15 11 40:51 39
13 Pavia 34 9 9 16 32:46 36
14 Mezzolara 34 7 14 13 39:50 35
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 10 16 31:50 34
16 San Marino Calcio 34 5 16 13 24:32 31
17 USD Classe 1974 34 6 12 16 25:51 30
18 OltrepoVoghera 34 3 14 17 22:44 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Play Offs)