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Olympia Warriors vs Hobart City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tasmania Southern Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Olympia Warriors
30%
Draws
37%
Hobart City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hobart City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Olympia Warriors have won more games recently than Hobart City.
  • Model gives Olympia Warriors a 33% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Southern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.80000000000001%
Olympia Warriors Clean Sheet 10%
Hobart City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympia Warriors Hobart City
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 14
Draws 2 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 2.72 2.54
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
Olympia Warriors vs Hobart City
1:1
May 30, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart City vs Olympia Warriors
3:1
Jul 18, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Olympia Warriors vs Hobart City
1:2
May 3, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart City vs Olympia Warriors
6:0
Jul 12, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
Olympia Warriors vs Hobart City
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympia Warriors 38 / 100
Hobart City 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympia Warriors Hobart City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olympia Warriors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympia Warriors's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Hobart City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Olympia Warriors went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olympia Warriors VS Hobart City
1.75 Goals Scored 3.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympia Warriors

(Home)
15 Aug
Olympia Warriors
1 : 1
Hobart City
07 Aug
Olympia Warriors
3 : 1
Clarence Zebras U21
31 Jul
Olympia Warriors
8 : 1
Hobart United
18 Jul
Taroona
3 : 2
Olympia Warriors
11 Jul
Glenorchy Knights U21
0 : 3
Olympia Warriors
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Hobart City

(Away)
15 Aug
Olympia Warriors
1 : 1
Hobart City
09 Aug
South Hobart U21
3 : 3
Hobart City
18 Jul
Hobart City
4 : 0
Clarence Zebras U21
11 Jul
Hobart United
2 : 4
Hobart City
04 Jul
Hobart City
5 : 2
University of Tasmania
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Hobart U21 17 12 2 3 77:23 38
2 Olympia Warriors 17 11 2 4 51:26 35
3 New Town Eagles 16 9 5 2 54:17 32
4 Taroona 17 9 3 5 63:24 30
5 Hobart City 16 8 6 2 43:28 30
6 Clarence Zebras U21 16 7 1 8 37:41 22
7 Hobart United 17 4 2 11 34:81 14
8 Glenorchy Knights U21 17 3 2 12 37:79 11
9 University of Tasmania 17 3 1 13 29:62 10
10 South East United U21 6 0 0 6 6:50 0
Promotion - NPL Tasmania 2027 (Main)