Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Olympiacos Piraeus vs Bayer Leverkusen

Europe Europe

Champions League 2025/2026 Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
El Kaabi A.
42'
Garcia A.
45'
Taremi M.

AI Match Summary

Bayer Leverkusen in this Champions League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Olympiacos Piraeus
20%
Draws
40%
Bayer Leverkusen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Bayer Leverkusen have won more games recently than Olympiacos Piraeus.
  • Model gives Bayer Leverkusen a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Bayer Leverkusen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Olympiacos Piraeus, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Olympiacos Piraeus Clean Sheet 16%
Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympiacos Piraeus Bayer Leverkusen
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 18
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.17 2.28
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen vs Olympiacos Piraeus
0:0
Feb 18, 2026 Champions League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Bayer Leverkusen
0:2
Jan 20, 2026 Champions League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Bayer Leverkusen
2:0
Oct 29, 2002 Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen vs Olympiacos Piraeus
2:0
Sep 18, 2002 Champions League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Bayer Leverkusen
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olympiacos Piraeus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bayer Leverkusen Compare

Top Goalscorer Schick P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympiacos Piraeus 28 / 100
Bayer Leverkusen 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympiacos Piraeus Bayer Leverkusen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayer Leverkusen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympiacos Piraeus found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Olympiacos Piraeus has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Bayer Leverkusen conceded in 59% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Olympiacos Piraeus VS Bayer Leverkusen
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympiacos Piraeus

(Home)
20 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1
Jagiellonia
12 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
0 : 1
OFI Crete
08 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
3 : 2
Volos
05 Sept
Volos
1 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
Page 1 of 6

Bayer Leverkusen

(Away)
20 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
RB Leipzig
16 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
Celje
12 Sept
Augsburg
2 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
05 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0
Union Berlin
29 Aug
Elversberg
3 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Monaco 4
PSG 5
Chelsea -
TBD -
Galatasaray 7
Juventus 5
Liverpool -
TBD -
Benfica 1
Real Madrid 3
Manchester City -
TBD -
Dortmund 3
Atalanta 4
Bayern Munich -
TBD -
Qarabag Agdam 3
Newcastle Utd 9
Barcelona -
TBD -
Club Brugge 4
Atl. Madrid 7
Tottenham -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt 5
Inter 2
Sporting CP -
TBD -
Olympiacos Piraeus 0
Bayer Leverkusen 2
Arsenal -
TBD -
1/8-finals
PSG 8
Chelsea 2
Galatasaray 1
Liverpool 4
Real Madrid 5
Manchester City 1
Atalanta 2
Bayern Munich 10
Newcastle Utd 3
Barcelona 8
Atl. Madrid 7
Tottenham 5
Bodo/Glimt 3
Sporting CP 5
Bayer Leverkusen 1
Arsenal 3
Quarter-finals
PSG 4
Liverpool 0
Real Madrid 4
Bayern Munich 6
Barcelona 2
Atl. Madrid 3
Sporting CP 0
Arsenal 1
Semi-finals
PSG 6
Bayern Munich 5
Atl. Madrid 1
Arsenal 2
Final
PSG 2
Arsenal 1