Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Olympiacos Piraeus vs Bayer Leverkusen

Europe Europe

Champions League 2025/2026 Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
El Kaabi A.
42'
Garcia A.
45'
Taremi M.

AI Match Summary

Bayer Leverkusen in this Champions League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Olympiacos Piraeus
6%
Draws
90%
Bayer Leverkusen
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bayer Leverkusen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bayer Leverkusen have won more games recently than Olympiacos Piraeus.
  • Model gives Bayer Leverkusen a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Bayer Leverkusen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Olympiacos Piraeus, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Olympiacos Piraeus Clean Sheet 13%
Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympiacos Piraeus Bayer Leverkusen
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.25 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen vs Olympiacos Piraeus
0:0
Feb 18, 2026 Champions League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Bayer Leverkusen
0:2
Jan 20, 2026 Champions League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Bayer Leverkusen
2:0
Oct 29, 2002 Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen vs Olympiacos Piraeus
2:0
Sep 18, 2002 Champions League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Bayer Leverkusen
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olympiacos Piraeus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bayer Leverkusen Compare

Top Goalscorer Schick P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympiacos Piraeus 10 / 100
Bayer Leverkusen 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympiacos Piraeus Bayer Leverkusen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympiacos Piraeus found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Bayer Leverkusen has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Olympiacos Piraeus remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Olympiacos Piraeus VS Bayer Leverkusen
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympiacos Piraeus

(Home)
25 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
3 : 2
Olympiacos Piraeus
24 Jul
Antwerp
3 : 0
Olympiacos Piraeus
18 Jul
Ajax
1 : 0
Olympiacos Piraeus
17 Jul
Olympiacos Piraeus
3 : 1
Sittard
11 Jul
Olympiacos Piraeus
1 : 1
Leuven
Page 1 of 6

Bayer Leverkusen

(Away)
25 Jul
Kickers Offenbach
1 : 3
Bayer Leverkusen
18 Jul
Baumberg
0 : 7
Bayer Leverkusen
16 May
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 1
Hamburger
09 May
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1
Bayer Leverkusen
02 May
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 1
RB Leipzig
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Monaco4
PSG5
Chelsea-
TBD-
Galatasaray7
Juventus5
Liverpool-
TBD-
Benfica1
Real Madrid3
Manchester City-
TBD-
Dortmund3
Atalanta4
Bayern Munich-
TBD-
Qarabag Agdam3
Newcastle Utd9
Barcelona-
TBD-
Club Brugge4
Atl. Madrid7
Tottenham-
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt5
Inter2
Sporting CP-
TBD-
Olympiacos Piraeus0
Bayer Leverkusen2
Arsenal-
TBD-
1/8-finals
PSG8
Chelsea2
Galatasaray1
Liverpool4
Real Madrid5
Manchester City1
Atalanta2
Bayern Munich10
Newcastle Utd3
Barcelona8
Atl. Madrid7
Tottenham5
Bodo/Glimt3
Sporting CP5
Bayer Leverkusen1
Arsenal3
Quarter-finals
PSG4
Liverpool0
Real Madrid4
Bayern Munich6
Barcelona2
Atl. Madrid3
Sporting CP0
Arsenal1
Semi-finals
PSG6
Bayern Munich5
Atl. Madrid1
Arsenal2
Final
PSG2
Arsenal1