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Olympiacos Piraeus vs Leuven

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olympiacos Piraeus play Leuven in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Olympiacos Piraeus averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.57 conceded. Leuven averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Olympiacos Piraeus won 2, Leuven won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 0-2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Olympiacos Piraeus and 0.88 for Leuven. This points to a Olympiacos Piraeus double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Olympiacos Piraeus
28%
Draws
24%
Leuven
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Olympiacos Piraeus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Olympiacos Piraeus picked up more points recently compared to Leuven.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Olympiacos Piraeus Clean Sheet 25%
Leuven Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympiacos Piraeus Leuven
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.6 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.57 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Leuven
0-2
Apr 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Leuven vs Olympiacos Piraeus
0-1
Mar 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Leuven
0-1
Feb 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Leuven vs Olympiacos Piraeus
1-1
Jan 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Leuven
2-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympiacos Piraeus 48 / 100
Leuven 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympiacos Piraeus Leuven

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Olympiacos Piraeus or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Olympiacos Piraeus attacking → ← attacking Leuven

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympiacos Piraeus scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Leuven let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Olympiacos Piraeus went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Leuven lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 28
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75