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Olympiacos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olympiacos Piraeus host Panathinaikos in the Super League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Olympiacos Piraeus have averaged 1.16 scored and 0.84 conceded recently, against Panathinaikos's 1.82 scored and 0.91 conceded. Past meetings favor Olympiacos Piraeus slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.44, favoring Panathinaikos. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Olympiacos Piraeus
15%
Draws
51%
Panathinaikos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Panathinaikos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Olympiacos Piraeus haven't matched Panathinaikos's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Panathinaikos a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Olympiacos Piraeus Clean Sheet 16%
Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympiacos Piraeus Panathinaikos
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 14 20
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.16 1.82
Goals Conceded 0.84 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Super League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 Super League
Panathinaikos vs Olympiacos Piraeus
0:2
Feb 8, 2026 Super League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 Super League
Panathinaikos vs Olympiacos Piraeus
1:1
May 11, 2025 Super League
Panathinaikos vs Olympiacos Piraeus
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympiacos Piraeus 28 / 100
Panathinaikos 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympiacos Piraeus Panathinaikos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panathinaikos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympiacos Piraeus scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Olympiacos Piraeus has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Panathinaikos let in goals in 58% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Olympiacos Piraeus VS Panathinaikos
1.63 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympiacos Piraeus

(Home)
20 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1
Jagiellonia
12 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
0 : 1
OFI Crete
08 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
3 : 2
Volos
05 Sept
Volos
1 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
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Panathinaikos

(Away)
20 Sept
Kalamata
0 : 1
Panathinaikos
16 Sept
Kifisia
0 : 2
Panathinaikos
13 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Panetolikos
10 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 1
Kifisia
06 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 1
PAOK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 5 5 0 0 12:2 15
2 PAOK 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
3 AEK 5 3 2 0 13:3 11
4 OFI Crete 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Olympiacos Piraeus 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
6 Panetolikos 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
7 Aris 5 2 1 2 5:10 7
8 Iraklis FC 5 1 3 1 4:6 6
9 Kifisia 5 1 2 2 4:7 5
10 Kalamata 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
11 Atromitos 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
12 Asteras Tripolis 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
13 Volos 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
14 Levadiakos 5 0 1 4 0:9 1
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)