Sport Picks

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Olympic FC vs Rochedale

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Goodwin Park, Brisbane
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Warnes D.
50' Event
Kljajic O.
74' Event
Dearn O.

AI Match Summary

Rochedale in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rochedale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Olympic FC
15%
Draws
42%
Rochedale
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olympic FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Olympic FC average 1.6 goals a game right now, well clear of Rochedale's 1.56.
  • Olympic FC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Olympic FC Clean Sheet 11%
Rochedale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympic FC Rochedale
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 10
Draws 2 4
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.6 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 NPL Queensland
Olympic FC vs Rochedale
1:2
May 10, 2026 NPL Queensland
Rochedale vs Olympic FC
3:1
Jul 13, 2024 NPL Queensland
Rochedale vs Olympic FC
0:1
Apr 14, 2024 NPL Queensland
Olympic FC vs Rochedale
2:0
Aug 13, 2023 NPL Queensland
Olympic FC vs Rochedale
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olympic FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Warnes D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Rochedale Compare

Top Goalscorer Kljajic O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dearn O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympic FC 47 / 100
Rochedale 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympic FC Rochedale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olympic FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rochedale let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: Olympic FC scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Rochedale has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Olympic FC VS Rochedale
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympic FC

(Home)
04 Sept
Olympic FC
3 : 4
Brisbane Roar
14 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2
Rochedale
08 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2
Moreton City Excelsior
02 Aug
Magic United TFA FC
0 : 3
Olympic FC
19 Jul
Olympic FC
3 : 1
Brisbane Roar U23
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Rochedale

(Away)
14 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2
Rochedale
08 Aug
Magic United TFA FC
2 : 1
Rochedale
31 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 1
Eastern Suburbs
18 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 3
Brisbane City
14 Jul
Rochedale
1 : 2
SD Raiders
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Queensland Lions 22 17 2 3 57:22 53
2 Peninsula 22 13 6 3 49:27 45
3 Moreton City Excelsior 22 12 3 7 51:35 39
4 Gold Coast Knights SC 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
5 Brisbane City 22 9 7 6 47:48 34
6 Wynnum Wolves 22 9 6 7 36:40 33
7 Eastern Suburbs 22 9 2 11 34:35 29
8 Olympic FC 22 8 2 12 39:43 26
9 Magic United TFA FC 22 7 1 14 33:59 22
10 Rochedale 22 6 3 13 34:52 21
11 Gold Coast Utd 22 6 2 14 26:39 20
12 Brisbane Roar U23 22 5 1 16 32:52 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)