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Olympic Niamey vs Police - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Super Ligue 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Super Ligue 2025/2026 game between Olympic Niamey and Police finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Police.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Olympic Niamey
35%
Draws
28%
Police
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Olympic Niamey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Police carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Olympic Niamey Clean Sheet 20%
Police Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympic Niamey Police
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 12
Draws 10 11
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.8 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Super Ligue
Olympic Niamey vs Police
1:3
Dec 25, 2025 Super Ligue
Police vs Olympic Niamey
2:0
May 7, 2025 Super Ligue
Police vs Olympic Niamey
4:4
Jan 9, 2025 Super Ligue
Olympic Niamey vs Police
0:2
Jul 8, 2024 Super Ligue
Police vs Olympic Niamey
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympic Niamey 31 / 100
Police 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympic Niamey Police

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olympic Niamey Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Olympic Niamey has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Olympic Niamey scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Police has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Olympic Niamey VS Police
1.14 Goals Scored 0.63
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.25
57% Over 1.5 38%
29% Over 2.5 0%
14% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympic Niamey

(Home)
18 Jun
Olympic Niamey
1 : 1
Liberte
12 Jun
Olympic Niamey
1 : 0
Sahel
05 Jun
Renaissance
1 : 4
Olympic Niamey
29 May
AS UAM
2 : 1
Olympic Niamey
22 May
Olympic Niamey
1 : 1
Tagour
Page 1 of 6

Police

(Away)
03 Oct
Police
0 : 1
Tagour
26 Sept
Nigelec
0 : 0
Police
16 Sept
Police
1 : 1
Wombeye
06 Sept
Espoir
0 : 2
Police
19 Jun
AS Garde Nationale
1 : 1
Police
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigelec 30 20 6 4 48:24 66
2 US Gendarmerie 30 17 9 4 48:17 60
3 ASFAN 30 16 7 7 38:24 55
4 AS Garde Nationale 30 14 11 5 38:21 53
5 Police 30 14 9 7 39:21 51
6 Douanes Niamey 30 12 11 7 33:21 47
7 Espoir 30 9 10 11 31:35 37
8 AS ZAM 30 10 7 13 39:46 37
9 Sahel 30 10 5 15 21:23 35
10 JS Tahoua 30 10 5 15 36:51 35
11 Tagour 30 7 12 11 32:40 33
12 Urana 30 8 9 13 28:36 33
13 Liberte 30 7 11 12 28:46 32
14 AS UAM 30 8 8 14 25:34 32
15 Olympic Niamey 30 5 10 15 24:44 25
16 Renaissance 30 4 8 18 23:48 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)