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Olympic vs Metallurg Bekabad

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League 2024 Stadion Majmuasi
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Urinboev Z.
Assist: Nematzhonov S.
27'
Abdumazhidov O.
32' Event
Nematzhonov S.
Assist: Urinboev Z.

AI Match Summary

Metallurg Bekabad in this Super League 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Metallurg Bekabad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Olympic
6%
Draws
90%
Metallurg Bekabad
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Metallurg Bekabad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Metallurg Bekabad has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Olympic.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Metallurg Bekabad.
  • Cup tournament structure in Super League 2024 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Olympic Clean Sheet 10%
Metallurg Bekabad Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympic Metallurg Bekabad
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 2 12
Losses 24 9
Goals Scored 0.75 2
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2024 Super League
Olympic vs Metallurg Bekabad
1:2
Sep 16, 2024 Super League
Olympic vs Metallurg Bekabad
1:1
Jun 30, 2024 Super League
Metallurg Bekabad vs Olympic
1:4
Dec 1, 2023 Super League
Metallurg Bekabad vs Olympic
2:1
Jun 26, 2023 Super League
Olympic vs Metallurg Bekabad
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Islamov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Metallurg Bekabad Compare

Top Goalscorer Urinboev Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nematzhonov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympic 10 / 100
Metallurg Bekabad 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympic Metallurg Bekabad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympic scored in 48% of their last 31 games.

Metallurg Bekabad let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Olympic went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Metallurg Bekabad lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olympic VS Metallurg Bekabad
0.75 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Shortan Guzor1
Olympic0
Kokand 19122
Metallurg Bekabad1
Final
Olympic1
Metallurg Bekabad2