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Stadium Background

Olympic Varna vs Chernolomets

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chernolomets in this Third League - North-East matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chernolomets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Olympic Varna
20%
Draws
46%
Chernolomets
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chernolomets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Chernolomets have won more games recently than Olympic Varna.
  • Model gives Olympic Varna a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • Chernolomets have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Olympic Varna Clean Sheet 10%
Chernolomets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympic Varna Chernolomets
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 2.03 2.31
Goals Conceded 2.69 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Third League - North-East
Olympic Varna vs Chernolomets
1:3
Mar 18, 2026 Third League - North-East
Olympic Varna vs Chernolomets
0:2
Aug 16, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Olympic Varna
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympic Varna 34 / 100
Chernolomets 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympic Varna Chernolomets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Olympic Varna found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Chernolomets's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Olympic Varna has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Olympic Varna VS Chernolomets
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympic Varna

(Home)
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3
Olympic Varna
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3
Chernolomets
30 Aug
Ludogorets III
5 : 1
Olympic Varna
26 Aug
Olympic Varna
4 : 1
Septemvri Dragoevo
22 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 4
Olympic Varna
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Chernolomets

(Away)
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3
Chernolomets
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1
Aksakovo
26 Aug
Cherno More II
4 : 1
Chernolomets
22 Aug
Chernolomets
0 : 0
Chernomorets Balchik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Volov Shumen 5 4 1 0 19:3 13
2 Svetkavitsa 2014 5 4 1 0 13:3 13
3 Ludogorets III 5 3 1 1 13:4 10
4 Chernomorets Balchik 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
5 FK Riltzi 5 3 0 2 8:6 9
6 Chernolomets 5 2 2 1 9:6 8
7 Benkovski 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
8 Botev Novi Pazar 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
9 Septemvri Dragoevo 4 2 1 1 10:9 7
10 Cherno More II 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
11 Olympic Varna 5 2 0 3 13:16 6
12 Septemvri Tervel 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
13 Devnya 2005 4 1 0 3 3:10 3
14 Aksakovo 5 0 1 4 6:18 1
15 Fratria II 5 0 1 4 4:21 1
16 Ustrem Donchevo 5 0 0 5 9:20 0
17 Dorostol 4 0 0 4 1:13 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)