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Olympic Varna vs Svetkavitsa 2014

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2025/2026 game between Olympic Varna and Svetkavitsa 2014 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olympic Varna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Olympic Varna
15%
Draws
85%
Svetkavitsa 2014
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Svetkavitsa 2014

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Olympic Varna come out ahead of Svetkavitsa 2014 on wins alone.
  • Svetkavitsa 2014 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Olympic Varna Clean Sheet 10%
Svetkavitsa 2014 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympic Varna Svetkavitsa 2014
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.97 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.7 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Third League - North-East
Olympic Varna vs Svetkavitsa 2014
3:1
Oct 12, 2025 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa 2014 vs Olympic Varna
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympic Varna 18 / 100
Svetkavitsa 2014 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympic Varna Svetkavitsa 2014

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Svetkavitsa 2014 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Olympic Varna found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Svetkavitsa 2014 has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Svetkavitsa 2014's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Olympic Varna VS Svetkavitsa 2014
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympic Varna

(Home)
26 Sept
Aksakovo
3 : 2
Olympic Varna
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0
Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3
Olympic Varna
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3
Chernolomets
30 Aug
Ludogorets III
5 : 1
Olympic Varna
Page 1 of 6

Svetkavitsa 2014

(Away)
26 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
1 : 0
Svetkavitsa 2014
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1
Chernolomets
13 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0
Ludogorets III
05 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 1
Septemvri Dragoevo
29 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 3
Svetkavitsa 2014
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Balchik 32 27 4 1 92:14 85
2 Ludogorets III 32 25 4 3 101:19 79
3 Septemvri Tervel 32 25 3 4 89:22 78
4 Volov Shumen 32 23 3 6 93:28 72
5 Chernolomets 32 20 3 9 78:43 63
6 Benkovski 32 18 6 8 68:40 60
7 Cherno More II 32 16 7 9 65:44 55
8 Ustrem Donchevo 32 17 3 12 73:67 54
9 Olympic Varna 32 10 6 16 58:80 36
10 Aksakovo 32 9 4 19 40:68 31
11 Fratria II 32 8 6 18 40:71 30
12 Svetkavitsa 2014 32 7 8 17 26:48 29
13 Botev Novi Pazar 32 8 5 19 34:69 29
14 Dorostol 32 8 4 20 29:67 28
15 Spartak Varna II 32 7 5 20 42:72 26
16 FK Riltzi 32 6 4 22 31:83 22
17 Svetkavitsa 32 0 1 31 5:129 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)