Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - North-East

Olympic Varna

3 - 1

Svetkavitsa 2014

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East game between Olympic Varna and Svetkavitsa 2014 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olympic Varna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Olympic Varna

28%

Draws

50%

Svetkavitsa 2014

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Svetkavitsa 2014

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Olympic Varna come out ahead of Svetkavitsa 2014 on wins alone.
Svetkavitsa 2014 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Olympic Varna Clean Sheet 10%

Svetkavitsa 2014 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Olympic Varna	Svetkavitsa 2014
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	6
Draws	6	8
Losses	15	16
Goals Scored	0.88	1.13
Goals Conceded	3.38	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.38	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Third League - North-East

Olympic Varna vs Svetkavitsa 2014

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

3:1

Oct 12, 2025 Third League - North-East

Svetkavitsa 2014 vs Olympic Varna

Possession: 59% - 40% Cards: 3 - 4

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympic Varna 22 / 100

Svetkavitsa 2014 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Olympic Varna Svetkavitsa 2014

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SVE Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Olympic Varna found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Svetkavitsa 2014 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Olympic Varna stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olympic Varna VS Svetkavitsa 2014

0.88 Goals Scored 1.13

3.38 Goals Conceded 1.25

100% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Chernomorets Balchik	32	27	4	1	92:14	85
2	Ludogorets III	32	25	4	3	101:19	79
3	Septemvri Tervel	32	25	3	4	89:22	78
4	Volov Shumen	32	23	3	6	93:28	72
5	Chernolomets	32	20	3	9	78:43	63
6	Benkovski	32	18	6	8	68:40	60
7	Cherno More II	32	16	7	9	65:44	55
8	Ustrem Donchevo	32	17	3	12	73:67	54
9	Olympic Varna	32	10	6	16	58:80	36
10	Aksakovo	32	9	4	19	40:68	31
11	Fratria II	32	8	6	18	40:71	30
12	Svetkavitsa 2014	32	7	8	17	26:48	29
13	Botev Novi Pazar	32	8	5	19	34:69	29
14	Dorostol	32	8	4	20	29:67	28
15	Spartak Varna II	32	7	5	20	42:72	26
16	FK Riltzi	32	6	4	22	31:83	22
17	Svetkavitsa	32	0	1	31	5:129	1