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Olympique Beja vs Etoile Sahel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Boujemaa Kmiti Stadium, Béja
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olympique Beja host Etoile Sahel in the Ligue Professionnelle 1. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Etoile Sahel have shipped 1.11 goals a game lately, while Olympique Beja have conceded 1.34 and scored 0.79. Head-to-head, Olympique Beja have won 4 to Etoile Sahel's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.13) point toward Etoile Sahel. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Olympique Beja
35%
Draws
37%
Etoile Sahel
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Etoile Sahel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Etoile Sahel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Olympique Beja's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Olympique Beja have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Olympique Beja Clean Sheet 20%
Etoile Sahel Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympique Beja Etoile Sahel
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.79 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Olympique Beja vs Etoile Sahel
3:1
Oct 22, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs Olympique Beja
1:2
Jan 18, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Olympique Beja vs Etoile Sahel
0:2
Aug 31, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs Olympique Beja
0:1
Jan 7, 2024 Super Cup
Etoile Sahel vs Olympique Beja
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympique Beja 36 / 100
Etoile Sahel 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympique Beja Etoile Sahel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Olympique Beja went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Etoile Sahel's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Olympique Beja's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Olympique Beja VS Etoile Sahel
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympique Beja

(Home)
13 Sept
Olympique Beja
1 : 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier
05 Sept
CA Bizertin
1 : 1
Olympique Beja
30 Aug
Olympique Beja
1 : 2
Ben Guerdane
23 Aug
Zarzis
1 : 0
Olympique Beja
14 May
Club Africain
1 : 1
Olympique Beja
Page 1 of 6

Etoile Sahel

(Away)
12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0
Etoile Sahel
06 Sept
Etoile Sahel
1 : 1
Jeunesse Sportive
30 Aug
Etoile Sahel
2 : 1
Metlaoui
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2
Etoile Sahel
14 May
CS Sfaxien
3 : 1
Etoile Sahel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Africain 3 3 0 0 3:0 9
2 Esperance Tunis 4 3 0 1 7:6 9
3 Ben Guerdane 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
4 CS Sfaxien 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
5 Monastir 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
6 PS Sakiet Eddaier 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
7 Jeunesse Sportive 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
8 CA Bizertin 4 2 1 1 3:3 7
9 Stade Tunisien 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
10 Etoile Sahel 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
11 AS Marsa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Zarzis 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
13 Metlaoui 4 1 0 3 2:4 3
14 Olympique Beja 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
15 Hamam-Sousse 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
16 Hammam-Lif 4 0 0 4 0:4 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)