Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Olympique de Safi vs Maghreb Fez

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro 2025/2026 Stade El Massira, Safi
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Tahiri A.
29'
Noureddine O.
45'
Najari Y.

AI Match Summary

Maghreb Fez in this Botola Pro 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maghreb Fez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Olympique de Safi
35%
Draws
51%
Maghreb Fez
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maghreb Fez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Maghreb Fez have won more games recently than Olympique de Safi.
  • Maghreb Fez are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Botola Pro 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Olympique de Safi Clean Sheet 18%
Maghreb Fez Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympique de Safi Maghreb Fez
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 3 15
Draws 16 11
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 0.84 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Botola Pro
Olympique de Safi vs Maghreb Fez
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Botola Pro
Maghreb Fez vs Olympique de Safi
4:0
May 8, 2025 Botola Pro
Olympique de Safi vs Maghreb Fez
2:2
Dec 15, 2024 Botola Pro
Maghreb Fez vs Olympique de Safi
0:1
Jun 14, 2024 Botola Pro
Maghreb Fez vs Olympique de Safi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olympique de Safi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Maghreb Fez Compare

Top Goalscorer Benjdida S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khorsa S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympique de Safi 12 / 100
Maghreb Fez 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympique de Safi Maghreb Fez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maghreb Fez Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympique de Safi scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Olympique de Safi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Maghreb Fez has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Olympique de Safi VS Maghreb Fez
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympique de Safi

(Home)
26 Sept
US Boujaad
0 : 0
Olympique de Safi
03 Sept
FAR Rabat
1 : 0
Olympique de Safi
05 Jul
Olympique de Safi
0 : 2
Raja Casablanca
02 Jul
Dcheira
1 : 1
Olympique de Safi
28 Jun
Olympique de Safi
2 : 2
COD Meknes
Page 1 of 7

Maghreb Fez

(Away)
27 Sept
Maghreb Fez
2 : 1
Renaissance Zemamra
12 Sept
Rahimo
0 : 0
Maghreb Fez
06 Sept
Maghreb Fez
4 : 1
Rahimo
05 Jul
Maghreb Fez
2 : 0
Dcheira
02 Jul
Kawkab Marrakech
0 : 0
Maghreb Fez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maghreb Fez 30 16 11 3 40:17 59
2 Berkane 30 16 9 5 44:27 57
3 Raja Casablanca 30 16 8 6 39:19 56
4 FAR Rabat 30 13 16 1 45:22 55
5 Wydad Athletic 30 13 4 13 39:33 43
6 Difaa El Jadidi 30 9 13 8 30:34 40
7 IR Tanger 30 9 12 9 27:31 39
8 FUS Rabat 30 9 10 11 31:36 37
9 Kawkab Marrakech 30 8 12 10 27:26 36
10 COD Meknes 30 9 9 12 24:33 36
11 Renaissance Zemamra 30 8 9 13 28:37 33
12 Hassania Agadir 30 8 9 13 27:39 33
13 Union Touarga 30 6 13 11 32:40 31
14 Dcheira 30 7 9 14 29:40 30
15 Yacoub El Mansour 30 7 9 14 34:44 30
16 Olympique de Safi 30 3 13 14 24:42 22
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Botola Pro 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 (Main)