Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oman U23 vs Lebanon U23

Asia Asia

WAFF Championship U23 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Al Abdulsalam S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Oman U23 in this WAFF Championship U23 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oman U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Oman U23
20%
Draws
51%
Lebanon U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lebanon U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Oman U23 have won more games recently than Lebanon U23.
  • Lebanon U23 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Oman U23 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Oman U23 Clean Sheet 18%
Lebanon U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oman U23 Lebanon U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.1 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2023 WAFF Championship U23
Oman U23 vs Lebanon U23
1:0
Nov 6, 2022 WAFF Championship U23
Lebanon U23 vs Oman U23
2:4
Mar 27, 2015 AFC Asian Cup U23
Oman U23 vs Lebanon U23
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oman U23 28 / 100
Lebanon U23 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oman U23 Lebanon U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lebanon U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lebanon U23 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Oman U23 scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Oman U23 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oman U23 VS Lebanon U23
0.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oman U23

(Home)
13 May
Qatar U23
1 : 3
Oman U23
11 May
Qatar U23
2 : 1
Oman U23
31 Mar
United Arab Emirates U23
3 : 1
Oman U23
10 Dec
Oman U23
1 : 1
Yemen U23
07 Dec
Oman U23
0 : 2
Iraq U23
Page 1 of 6

Lebanon U23

(Away)
13 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 1
Lebanon U23
10 Jan
Lebanon U23
2 : 4
South Korea U23
07 Jan
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 2
Lebanon U23
09 Sept
Lebanon U23
3 : 0
Mongolia U23
06 Sept
Lebanon U23
2 : 2
Thailand U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Jordan U23 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
3 United Arab Emirates U23 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - WAFF Championship U23 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U23 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Palestine U23 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Syria U23 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - WAFF Championship U23 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oman U23 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Yemen U23 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Lebanon U23 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - WAFF Championship U23 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams