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Oman vs Lebanon

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Al Sabhi I.

AI Match Summary

Oman in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Oman
15%
Draws
48%
Lebanon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lebanon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Lebanon at 1.29 per game, Oman at 1.22.
  • Model gives Lebanon a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Oman Clean Sheet 20%
Lebanon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oman Lebanon
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.22 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.66 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2025 Friendly International
Oman vs Lebanon
1:0
Mar 27, 2023 Friendly International
Lebanon vs Oman
0:2
Sep 10, 2019 Friendly International
Oman vs Lebanon
1:0
Sep 9, 2018 Friendly International
Lebanon vs Oman
0:0
May 29, 2013 Friendly International
Oman vs Lebanon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oman Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Sabhi I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.33

Lebanon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oman 28 / 100
Lebanon 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oman Lebanon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lebanon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oman's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Oman went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Lebanon let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Oman VS Lebanon
0.75 Goals Scored 1.43
1 Goals Conceded 0.57
63% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 43%
0% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Oman

(Home)
07 Jun
Oman
4 : 1
Mozambique
05 Jun
Indonesia
3 : 0
Oman
08 Dec
Oman
2 : 1
Comoros
05 Dec
Oman
0 : 0
Morocco
02 Dec
Saudi Arabia
2 : 1
Oman
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Lebanon

(Away)
04 Jun
Lebanon
0 : 2
Yemen
26 Nov
Sudan
2 : 1
Lebanon
18 Nov
Brunei
0 : 3
Lebanon
14 Oct
Bhutan
0 : 4
Lebanon
09 Oct
Lebanon
2 : 0
Bhutan
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