Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League NACK5 Stadium Omiya

Omiya Ardija

1 - 2

Fujieda MYFC

Our Tip

Match Events

35'

Matsuki S.

Assist: Okazawa K.

57'

Matsuki S.

Assist: Manabe H.

65'

Sub

Kato G. In: Hidaka H.

Out: Kato G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fujieda MYFC in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fujieda MYFC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Omiya Ardija

40%

Draws

29%

Fujieda MYFC

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Fujieda MYFC haven't matched Omiya Ardija's recent run of results.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Omiya Ardija here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%

Omiya Ardija Clean Sheet 17%

Fujieda MYFC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Omiya Ardija	Fujieda MYFC
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	16	10
Draws	1	3
Losses	13	16
Goals Scored	1.88	1
Goals Conceded	1.75	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 J2/J3 League

Fujieda MYFC vs Omiya Ardija

Possession: 41% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Mar 14, 2026 J2/J3 League

Omiya Ardija vs Fujieda MYFC

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 1 - 0

1:2

Oct 18, 2025 J2 League

Omiya Ardija vs Fujieda MYFC

Possession: 51% - 42% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

May 17, 2025 J2 League

Fujieda MYFC vs Omiya Ardija

Possession: 41% - 55% Cards: 1 - 0

0:1

Oct 22, 2023 J2 League

Fujieda MYFC vs Omiya Ardija

Possession: 41% - 59% Cards: 2 - 2

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Omiya Ardija Compare

Top Goalscorer Caprini Pinto M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Fujieda MYFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Matsuki S.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omiya Ardija 31 / 100

Fujieda MYFC 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Omiya Ardija Fujieda MYFC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Omiya Ardija scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

Fujieda MYFC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Omiya Ardija has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Omiya Ardija VS Fujieda MYFC

1.88 Goals Scored 1

1.75 Goals Conceded 1

100% Over 1.5 50%

88% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15