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Stadium Background

Omiya Ardija W vs Inac Kobe Leonesa W

Japan Japan

WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 NACK5 Stadium Omiya, Saitama
Sun, Nov 30, 2025
2 - 3
05:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Nishio H.
62' Event
Ota M.
80' Event
Ota M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Inac Kobe Leonesa W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Omiya Ardija W
6%
Draws
90%
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Inac Kobe Leonesa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Inac Kobe Leonesa W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Inac Kobe Leonesa W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Inac Kobe Leonesa W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Inac Kobe Leonesa W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Inac Kobe Leonesa W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Omiya Ardija W Clean Sheet 12%
Inac Kobe Leonesa W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Omiya Ardija W Inac Kobe Leonesa W
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 11 22
Draws 9 2
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 2.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 WE League Women
Inac Kobe Leonesa W vs Omiya Ardija W
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Inac Kobe Leonesa W vs Omiya Ardija W
1:4
Nov 30, 2025 WE League Cup Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Inac Kobe Leonesa W
2:3
Aug 30, 2025 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Inac Kobe Leonesa W
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 WE League Women
Inac Kobe Leonesa W vs Omiya Ardija W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Omiya Ardija W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nishio H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Norimatsu R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Inac Kobe Leonesa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ota M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omiya Ardija W 10 / 100
Inac Kobe Leonesa W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Omiya Ardija W Inac Kobe Leonesa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick INA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Omiya Ardija W scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Inac Kobe Leonesa W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Omiya Ardija W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Omiya Ardija W VS Inac Kobe Leonesa W
2.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Omiya Ardija W

(Home)
25 Jul
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 4
Bayern Munich W
16 May
Omiya Ardija W
0 : 4
Nojima Stella W
10 May
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 1
JEF United W
02 May
Albirex Niigata W
0 : 0
Omiya Ardija W
29 Apr
Omiya Ardija W
2 : 3
Beleza W
Page 1 of 7

Inac Kobe Leonesa W

(Away)
16 May
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
10 May
Saitama W
0 : 1
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
03 May
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
5 : 1
AC Parceiro Nagano W
25 Apr
Mynavi Sendai W
1 : 2
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
05 Apr
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
2 : 1
Omiya Ardija W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Omiya Ardija W640217:714
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima W650112:613
3Inac Kobe Leonesa W62048:136
4Saitama W61055:163
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Beleza W640210:714
2Mynavi Sendai W64025:312
3JEF United W64025:310
4AC Parceiro Nagano W60065:120
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1C-Osaka W64027:612
2Urawa W640213:1011
3Albirex Niigata W62047:87
4Nojima Stella W62048:116
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams