Sport Picks

Croatia

3. HNL East

Omladinac Gornja Vrba

1 - 1

Sloga Nova Gradiska

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL East game between Omladinac Gornja Vrba and Sloga Nova Gradiska finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Omladinac Gornja Vrba

40%

Draws

29%

Sloga Nova Gradiska

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Sloga Nova Gradiska come out ahead of Omladinac Gornja Vrba on wins alone.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
Regular 3. HNL East form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

Omladinac Gornja Vrba Clean Sheet 20%

Sloga Nova Gradiska Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Omladinac Gornja Vrba	Sloga Nova Gradiska
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	5	11
Draws	6	3
Losses	19	16
Goals Scored	0.63	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.25	2.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2022 3. HNL East

Omladinac Gornja Vrba vs Sloga Nova Gradiska

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 4 - 3

1:1

Sep 1, 2021 3. HNL East

Sloga Nova Gradiska vs Omladinac Gornja Vrba

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omladinac Gornja Vrba 32 / 100

Sloga Nova Gradiska 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Omladinac Gornja Vrba Sloga Nova Gradiska

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sloga Nova Gradiska conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Sloga Nova Gradiska registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Omladinac Gornja Vrba scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Omladinac Gornja Vrba VS Sloga Nova Gradiska

0.63 Goals Scored 1.13

1.25 Goals Conceded 2.75

50% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vukovar 1991	34	25	7	2	80:20	82
2	Zrinski Osjecko	34	24	6	4	69:33	78
3	Belisce	34	23	6	5	95:28	75
4	Marsonia	34	21	7	6	61:25	70
5	Slavonija Pozega	34	18	7	9	60:38	61
6	Croatia Dakovo	34	16	11	7	60:38	59
7	Bedem Ivankovo	34	13	8	13	53:52	47
8	Slavija Pleternica	34	13	6	15	57:68	45
9	Kutjevo	34	12	7	15	59:62	43
10	Granicar Zupanja	34	11	7	16	43:52	40
11	Sloga Nova Gradiska	34	12	3	19	46:71	39
12	Oriolik	34	11	5	18	43:71	38
13	Cepin	34	8	10	16	46:64	34
14	Darda	34	9	5	20	44:71	32
15	Vuteks Sloga	34	9	4	21	52:81	31
16	NASK Nasice	34	7	9	18	38:63	30
17	Omladinac Gornja Vrba	34	8	6	20	35:63	30
18	Slavonac Bukovlje	34	7	4	23	36:77	25