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Omonia 29th May vs AEK Larnaca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League Katokopia Stadium, Peristerona
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Match Events

23' Event
Andereggen N.
26'
Pattichis K.
41' Event
Tierney F.

AI Match Summary

AEK Larnaca in this Cyprus League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AEK Larnaca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Omonia 29th May
20%
Draws
56%
AEK Larnaca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AEK Larnaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • AEK Larnaca have won more games recently than Omonia 29th May.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on AEK Larnaca taking it.
  • Regular Cyprus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors AEK Larnaca here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Omonia 29th May Clean Sheet 10%
AEK Larnaca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Omonia 29th May AEK Larnaca
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 11 7
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.21 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Cyprus League
Omonia 29th May vs AEK Larnaca
1:2
Aug 21, 2026 Club Friendly
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia 29th May
5:2
Mar 2, 2025 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia 29th May
2:0
Dec 1, 2024 Cyprus League
Omonia 29th May vs AEK Larnaca
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Omonia 29th May Compare

Top Goalscorer Tierney F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

AEK Larnaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Andereggen N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bajic R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omonia 29th May 22 / 100
AEK Larnaca 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Omonia 29th May AEK Larnaca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Larnaca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Omonia 29th May found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

AEK Larnaca let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Omonia 29th May stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Omonia 29th May VS AEK Larnaca
2 Goals Scored 2.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Omonia 29th May

(Home)
26 Sept
Aris Limassol
4 : 2
Omonia 29th May
18 Sept
Omonia 29th May
1 : 2
AEK Larnaca
13 Sept
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
Omonia 29th May
04 Sept
Omonia 29th May
2 : 2
Karmiotissa
28 Aug
Krasava
0 : 3
Omonia 29th May
Page 1 of 6

AEK Larnaca

(Away)
03 Oct
AEK Larnaca
3 : 0
Apollon Limassol
27 Sept
AEK Larnaca
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
18 Sept
Omonia 29th May
1 : 2
AEK Larnaca
13 Sept
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Pafos
06 Sept
Nea Salamis
1 : 4
AEK Larnaca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK Larnaca 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
2 AEL Limassol 4 3 0 1 6:7 9
3 Omonia 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
4 Pafos 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
5 Apollon Limassol 4 1 3 0 7:5 6
6 Omonia Aradippou 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
7 Omonia 29th May 4 1 2 1 9:7 5
8 Aris Limassol 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
9 APOEL 4 1 1 2 10:7 4
10 Ol. Nicosia 4 0 4 0 7:7 4
11 Nea Salamis 4 1 1 2 8:9 4
12 Karmiotissa 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
13 Anorthosis 4 1 0 3 3:9 3
14 Krasava 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)