Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Omonia vs AEK Larnaca

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Simic S.
30' Event
Milicevic H.
(Penalty)
32'
Ewandro

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cyprus League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Omonia
17%
Draws
13%
AEK Larnaca
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Omonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Omonia have won more games recently than AEK Larnaca.
  • Omonia are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Omonia Clean Sheet 19%
AEK Larnaca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Omonia AEK Larnaca
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Cyprus League
Omonia vs AEK Larnaca
1:1
Apr 14, 2026 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia
0:2
Jan 14, 2026 Cyprus Cup
Omonia vs AEK Larnaca
2:1
Dec 15, 2025 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia
1:1
Sep 17, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia vs AEK Larnaca
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Omonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Coulibaly S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

AEK Larnaca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omonia 67 / 100
AEK Larnaca 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Omonia AEK Larnaca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OMO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Omonia's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Omonia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

AEK Larnaca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Omonia VS AEK Larnaca
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Omonia

(Home)
16 Jul
Omonia
2 : 1
Panetolikos
09 Jul
Korona Kielce
0 : 0
Omonia
05 Jul
Omonia
2 : 2
H. Beer Sheva
01 Jul
Omonia
2 : 1
Dinamo Bucuresti
22 May
Omonia
5 : 2
Apollon Limassol
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AEK Larnaca

(Away)
16 Jul
Apollon Limassol
0 : 0
AEK Larnaca
10 Jul
Ajax
1 : 0
AEK Larnaca
07 Jul
PAOK
3 : 2
AEK Larnaca
04 Jul
Helmond Sport
1 : 2
AEK Larnaca
22 May
Aris Limassol
3 : 4
AEK Larnaca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Omonia36276388:2487
2AEK Larnaca36209762:3369
3Apollon Limassol36207952:4167
4Pafos361881066:3862
5APOEL361571453:4552
6Aris Limassol361491361:4551
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)