Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Omonia vs AEK Larnaca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League 2025/2026 GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Omonia Logo

Omonia

1 - 1
FT
AEK Larnaca Logo

AEK Larnaca

Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Simic S.
30' Event
Milicevic H.
(Penalty)
32'
Costa Ewandro
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cyprus League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Omonia
15%
Draws
46%
AEK Larnaca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AEK Larnaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Omonia have won more games recently than AEK Larnaca.
  • Omonia are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Omonia Clean Sheet 15%
AEK Larnaca Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Omonia AEK Larnaca
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.79 1.6
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Cyprus League
Omonia vs AEK Larnaca
1:1
Apr 14, 2026 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia
0:2
Jan 14, 2026 Cyprus Cup
Omonia vs AEK Larnaca
2:1
Dec 15, 2025 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia
1:1
Sep 17, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia vs AEK Larnaca
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Omonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Coulibaly S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

AEK Larnaca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omonia 41 / 100
AEK Larnaca 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Omonia AEK Larnaca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Omonia's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

AEK Larnaca let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Omonia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Omonia VS AEK Larnaca
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
25% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Omonia

(Home)
20 Sept
Omonia
4 : 1
Krasava
16 Sept
Omonia
1 : 0
Celta Vigo
12 Sept
Omonia
0 : 0
Apollon Limassol
07 Sept
Aris Limassol
1 : 4
Omonia
03 Sept
Omonia
0 : 1
Pafos
Page 1 of 6

AEK Larnaca

(Away)
03 Oct
AEK Larnaca
3 : 0
Apollon Limassol
27 Sept
AEK Larnaca
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
18 Sept
Omonia 29th May
1 : 2
AEK Larnaca
13 Sept
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Pafos
06 Sept
Nea Salamis
1 : 4
AEK Larnaca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omonia 36 27 6 3 88:24 87
2 AEK Larnaca 36 20 9 7 62:33 69
3 Apollon Limassol 36 20 7 9 52:41 67
4 Pafos 36 18 8 10 66:38 62
5 APOEL 36 15 7 14 53:45 52
6 Aris Limassol 36 14 9 13 61:45 51
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)