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Once Caldas vs Dep. Pereira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Palogrande, Manizales
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
12:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Once Caldas host Dep. Pereira in the Primera A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Once Caldas have averaged 1.46 scored and 1.11 conceded recently, against Dep. Pereira's 0.68 scored and 1.39 conceded. Head-to-head, Once Caldas have won 2 to Dep. Pereira's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 10, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 0.94, favoring Once Caldas. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Once Caldas
35%
Draws
19%
Dep. Pereira
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Once Caldas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Once Caldas come out ahead of Dep. Pereira on wins alone.
  • Model gives Once Caldas a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. Pereira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Once Caldas Dep. Pereira
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 4
Draws 10 11
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.46 0.68
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Once Caldas
0:0
Sep 6, 2025 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Dep. Pereira
1:0
Aug 3, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Once Caldas
2:1
Mar 22, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Once Caldas
1:1
Feb 20, 2025 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Dep. Pereira
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Once Caldas 49 / 100
Dep. Pereira 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Once Caldas Dep. Pereira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Once Caldas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Once Caldas found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Dep. Pereira conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Once Caldas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Once Caldas VS Dep. Pereira
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Once Caldas

(Home)
10 Oct
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Llaneros
04 Oct
Inter Bogotá
1 : 1
Once Caldas
26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3
Bucaramanga
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0
Once Caldas
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Pereira

(Away)
10 Oct
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0
Dep. Cali
04 Oct
Cucuta
4 : 0
Dep. Pereira
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2
Santa Fe
26 Sept
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0
Inter Bogotá
18 Sept
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Dep. Pereira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 13 8 3 2 25:9 27
2 Dep. Cali 13 7 4 2 20:9 25
3 Bucaramanga 12 6 6 0 21:11 24
4 Atl. Nacional 11 7 2 2 21:10 23
5 Ind. Medellin 13 7 2 4 21:17 23
6 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
7 Millonarios 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
8 Deportes Tolima 14 5 5 4 17:16 20
9 Cucuta 13 5 3 5 16:19 18
10 Once Caldas 13 4 4 5 16:16 16
11 Aguilas Doradas 13 3 7 3 17:18 16
12 Llaneros 13 4 2 7 15:17 14
13 Inter Bogotá 14 2 8 4 16:20 14
14 Chico 12 3 3 6 10:19 12
15 Alianza 13 3 3 7 14:26 12
16 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 13 1 8 4 14:19 11
17 Junior 12 2 4 6 18:22 10
18 Jaguares de Cordoba 12 2 4 6 14:22 10
19 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
20 Dep. Pereira 12 1 6 5 7:17 9
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)