Sport Picks
Once Caldas vs Envigado
Colombia
Copa Colombia Estadio Palogrande, Manizales 
Match Events
25'
25'
Alvarado J.
33'
33'
Zapata Ramirez J. A.
82'
82'
Castano J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 3-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Once Caldas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Envigado lately — more wins on the board than Once Caldas.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Once Caldas taking it.
- Envigado arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Once Caldas, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Once Caldas have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 68%
Envigado Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Once Caldas | Envigado |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.15 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 30, 2026 Copa Colombia
Envigado vs Once Caldas
0:3
Jul 22, 2026 Copa Colombia
Once Caldas vs Envigado
3:0
Sep 13, 2025 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Envigado
1:0
May 1, 2025 Primera A
Envigado vs Once Caldas
1:2
Jan 13, 2025 Club Friendly
Envigado vs Once Caldas
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Once Caldas Compare
Top Goalscorer Alvarado J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zapata Ramirez J. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Envigado Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Once Caldas 50 / 100
Envigado 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Once Caldas Envigado
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Once Caldas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Once Caldas found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (26 games).
Envigado has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Once Caldas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Once Caldas VS Envigado
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Once Caldas
(Home) 05 Sept
Chico
2 : 0 Once Caldas
02 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 2 Once Caldas
24 Aug
Junior
1 : 1 Once Caldas
09 Aug
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 1 Once Caldas
06 Aug
Once Caldas
0 : 1 America De Cali
Page 1 of 6
06 Aug
Once Caldas
0 : 1 America De Cali
27 Jul
Once Caldas
5 : 1 Cucuta
22 Jul
Once Caldas
3 : 0 Envigado
10 May
Once Caldas
0 : 1 Junior
01 May
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Atl. Nacional
Page 1 of 3
Envigado
(Away) 06 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 2 Envigado
01 Sept
Envigado
0 : 1 Union Magdalena
23 Aug
Quindio
1 : 0 Envigado
19 Aug
Tigres Futbol Club
2 : 1 Envigado
03 Aug
Independiente Valle del Cauca
1 : 1 Envigado
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 2 Envigado
23 Aug
Quindio
1 : 0 Envigado
19 Aug
Tigres Futbol Club
2 : 1 Envigado
03 Aug
Independiente Valle del Cauca
1 : 1 Envigado
22 Jul
Once Caldas
3 : 0 Envigado
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Final
Atl. Nacional 4
Tigres Futbol Club 0
Junior 5
Barranquilla 6
Dep. Pasto 3
Bogota 1
America De Cali 3
Cartagena 2
Once Caldas 6
Envigado 0
Deportes Tolima 3
Quindio 4
Santa Fe 2
Union Magdalena 0
Inter Bogotá 3
Inter Palmira 1
