Sport Picks
Once Caldas vs Ind. Medellin
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Palogrande, Manizales 
Match Events
10'
10'
Larrosa E.
46'
46'
Sub
Moreno D. In: Perlaza B.
Out: Moreno D.
46'
46'
Sub
Mena Perea E. In: Catano D.
Out: Mena Perea E.
AI Match Summary
The Primera A game between Once Caldas and Ind. Medellin finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Once Caldas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ind. Medellin come out ahead of Once Caldas on wins alone.
- Once Caldas are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 16%
Ind. Medellin Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Once Caldas | Ind. Medellin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Ind. Medellin
1:1
Oct 13, 2025 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Ind. Medellin
1:5
Apr 20, 2025 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs Once Caldas
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Ind. Medellin
0:2
Mar 17, 2024 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs Once Caldas
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Once Caldas Compare
Top Goalscorer Zuleta M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Ind. Medellin Compare
Top Goalscorer Perlaza B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Once Caldas 41 / 100
Ind. Medellin 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Once Caldas Ind. Medellin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Once Caldas found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Ind. Medellin conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Once Caldas stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Once Caldas VS Ind. Medellin
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Once Caldas
(Home) 26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3 Bucaramanga
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0 Once Caldas
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Deportes Tolima
13 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 2 Dep. Cali
10 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Alianza
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3 Bucaramanga
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Deportes Tolima
13 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 2 Dep. Cali
10 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Alianza
06 Aug
Once Caldas
0 : 1 America De Cali
Page 1 of 3
Ind. Medellin
(Away) 30 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 2 Millonarios
27 Sept
Junior
2 : 0 Ind. Medellin
22 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1 Jaguares de Cordoba
18 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 2 Ind. Medellin
12 Sept
Chico
2 : 1 Ind. Medellin
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Junior
2 : 0 Ind. Medellin
18 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 2 Ind. Medellin
12 Sept
Chico
2 : 1 Ind. Medellin
10 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 4 Ind. Medellin
04 Sept
Dep. Pereira
0 : 3 Ind. Medellin
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America De Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Inter Bogotá | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Ind. Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Aguilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Dep. Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | 10 |
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)
