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Once Caldas vs Llaneros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Palogrande, Manizales
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:10 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Once Caldas host Llaneros in the Primera A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Llaneros have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Once Caldas have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.61. Past meetings favor Once Caldas slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 30, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.25, favoring Once Caldas. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Once Caldas
15%
Draws
42%
Llaneros
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Once Caldas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Once Caldas come out ahead of Llaneros on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 19%
Llaneros Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Once Caldas Llaneros
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.61 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 Primera A
Llaneros vs Once Caldas
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Primera A
Llaneros vs Once Caldas
2:0
Mar 27, 2025 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Llaneros
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Once Caldas 32 / 100
Llaneros 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Once Caldas Llaneros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Once Caldas scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Llaneros let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Away concern: Llaneros has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Once Caldas VS Llaneros
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Once Caldas

(Home)
26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3
Bucaramanga
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0
Once Caldas
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Deportes Tolima
13 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 2
Dep. Cali
10 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Alianza
Page 1 of 6

Llaneros

(Away)
26 Sept
Cucuta
2 : 1
Llaneros
21 Sept
Llaneros
2 : 0
Atl. Nacional
12 Sept
Inter Bogotá
3 : 2
Llaneros
07 Sept
Llaneros
1 : 2
Deportes Tolima
02 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Llaneros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 11 7 3 1 22:6 24
2 Dep. Cali 12 7 3 2 20:9 24
3 Atl. Nacional 10 7 1 2 21:10 22
4 Millonarios 13 5 6 2 18:11 21
5 Bucaramanga 10 5 5 0 17:9 20
6 Ind. Medellin 11 6 2 3 19:15 20
7 Santa Fe 11 5 4 2 18:12 19
8 Deportes Tolima 11 5 3 3 15:13 18
9 Llaneros 11 4 2 5 14:14 14
10 Once Caldas 11 3 3 5 14:15 12
11 Inter Bogotá 12 2 6 4 13:17 12
12 Cucuta 11 3 3 5 11:19 12
13 Aguilas Doradas 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
14 Chico 10 3 2 5 10:18 11
15 Alianza 12 3 2 7 12:24 11
16 Junior 10 2 3 5 15:17 9
17 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 11 1 6 4 13:18 9
18 Dep. Pereira 10 1 5 4 7:13 8
19 Dep. Pasto 11 2 2 7 9:18 8
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)