Sport Picks

Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Palogrande

Dep. Cali W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Once Caldas W play Dep. Cali W in the Liga Women. Dep. Cali W are favorites here. Recently, Once Caldas W averaged 0.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Dep. Cali W averaged 1.79 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. In past meetings, Once Caldas W won 0, Dep. Cali W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 15, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.51 for Once Caldas W and 2.06 for Dep. Cali W. This points to a Dep. Cali W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Once Caldas W

27%

Draws

60%

Dep. Cali W

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Dep. Cali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence

Once Caldas W picked up more points recently compared to Dep. Cali W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.51 vs 2.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 36%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%

Once Caldas W Clean Sheet 10%

Dep. Cali W Clean Sheet 22%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Once Caldas W	Dep. Cali W
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	3	22
Draws	10	7
Losses	17	5
Goals Scored	0.57	1.79
Goals Conceded	1.43	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Liga Women

Once Caldas W vs Dep. Cali W

Possession: 46% - 55% Cards: 1 - 2

0:2

Feb 23, 2025 Liga Women

Once Caldas W vs Dep. Cali W

Possession: 52% - 54% Cards: 4 - 0

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Once Caldas W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Dep. Cali W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cobos L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Guerra I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Once Caldas W 14 / 100

Dep. Cali W 58 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Once Caldas W Dep. Cali W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Cali W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Dep. Cali W & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +160%

20.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.9%

3.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Once Caldas W attacking → ← attacking Dep. Cali W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Once Caldas W scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Dep. Cali W let in goals in 47% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Once Caldas W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Dep. Cali W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 73

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.25

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atl. Nacional W	13	11	0	2	25:5	33
2	Dep. Cali W	13	10	2	1	29:6	32
3	America de Cali W	13	9	2	2	22:6	29
4	Millonarios W	13	8	4	1	28:7	28
5	Indep. Santa Fe W	13	7	4	2	23:9	25
6	Inter Bogotá W	13	7	1	5	19:14	22
7	Inter Palmira W	13	6	3	4	12:15	21
8	Ind. Medellin W	13	6	1	6	20:15	19
9	Orsomarso W	13	3	6	4	13:13	15
10	Fortaleza W	13	3	4	6	9:18	13
11	Llaneros W	13	3	4	6	9:21	13
12	Junior W	13	2	5	6	11:21	11
13	Bucaramanga W	13	2	2	9	9:33	8
14	Once Caldas W	13	1	4	8	5:19	7
15	Real Santander W	13	0	7	6	3:19	7
16	Dep. Pasto W	13	0	3	10	8:24	3