Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Once Caldas W vs Indep. Santa Fe W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Palogrande, Manizales
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Zamorano M.
43' Event
Zamorano M.
Assist: Viso Y.
44'
Martinez W.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Women game between Once Caldas W and Indep. Santa Fe W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Indep. Santa Fe W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Once Caldas W
35%
Draws
45%
Indep. Santa Fe W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Indep. Santa Fe W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Indep. Santa Fe W come out ahead of Once Caldas W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 57.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Once Caldas W Clean Sheet 16%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Once Caldas W Indep. Santa Fe W
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 3 17
Draws 11 9
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.6 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.89 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Liga Women
Once Caldas W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
0:3
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Women
Once Caldas W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Once Caldas W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.45

Indep. Santa Fe W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zamorano M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Orozco N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.82

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Once Caldas W 31 / 100
Indep. Santa Fe W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Once Caldas W Indep. Santa Fe W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indep. Santa Fe W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indep. Santa Fe W let in goals in 62% of their last 39 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Once Caldas W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Once Caldas W found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Once Caldas W VS Indep. Santa Fe W
0.4 Goals Scored 1.75
1.2 Goals Conceded 1.38
40% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Once Caldas W

(Home)
20 Aug
Bucaramanga W
2 : 1
Once Caldas W
02 Aug
Once Caldas W
0 : 0
Inter Palmira W
26 Jul
Dep. Pasto W
4 : 1
Once Caldas W
28 May
Real Santander W
0 : 0
Once Caldas W
22 May
Once Caldas W
0 : 0
Llaneros W
Page 1 of 6

Indep. Santa Fe W

(Away)
26 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3
Dep. Cali W
20 Sept
Millonarios W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
18 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 2
Millonarios W
12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional W 16 13 0 3 34:9 39
2 Dep. Cali W 16 12 2 2 33:10 38
3 Millonarios W 16 10 5 1 32:8 35
4 America de Cali W 16 11 2 3 29:8 35
5 Inter Bogotá W 16 9 2 5 22:14 29
6 Indep. Santa Fe W 16 7 5 4 27:15 26
7 Inter Palmira W 16 7 5 4 15:17 26
8 Orsomarso W 16 5 7 4 18:14 22
9 Ind. Medellin W 16 6 1 9 21:22 19
10 Fortaleza W 16 4 5 7 14:23 17
11 Bucaramanga W 16 5 2 9 15:34 17
12 Llaneros W 16 3 4 9 11:33 13
13 Junior W 16 2 6 8 12:24 12
14 Real Santander W 16 1 7 8 4:22 10
15 Once Caldas W 16 1 5 10 7:25 8
16 Dep. Pasto W 16 1 4 11 12:28 7
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)