Sport Picks

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Once Caldas W vs Junior W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Palogrande, Manizales
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Baldovino A.
36'
Navarro L.
46'
Sub
Valencia D. In: Orozco D.
Out: Valencia D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Women game between Once Caldas W and Junior W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Junior W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Once Caldas W
35%
Draws
26%
Junior W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Once Caldas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Junior W come out ahead of Once Caldas W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Once Caldas W Clean Sheet 68%
Junior W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Once Caldas W Junior W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 4
Draws 11 11
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.6 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 Liga Women
Once Caldas W vs Junior W
1:2
May 17, 2025 Liga Women
Junior W vs Once Caldas W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Once Caldas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aristizsbal P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Junior W Compare

Top Goalscorer Baldovino A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Julio D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Once Caldas W 41 / 100
Junior W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Once Caldas W Junior W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Once Caldas W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Junior W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Once Caldas W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Junior W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Once Caldas W VS Junior W
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Once Caldas W

(Home)
20 Aug
Bucaramanga W
2 : 1
Once Caldas W
02 Aug
Once Caldas W
0 : 0
Inter Palmira W
26 Jul
Dep. Pasto W
4 : 1
Once Caldas W
28 May
Real Santander W
0 : 0
Once Caldas W
22 May
Once Caldas W
0 : 0
Llaneros W
Page 1 of 6

Junior W

(Away)
09 Aug
Inter Palmira W
2 : 1
Junior W
03 Aug
Junior W
0 : 1
Bucaramanga W
25 Jul
Junior W
0 : 0
Millonarios W
29 May
Orsomarso W
5 : 1
Junior W
24 May
Junior W
0 : 0
Fortaleza W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional W 16 13 0 3 34:9 39
2 Dep. Cali W 16 12 2 2 33:10 38
3 Millonarios W 16 10 5 1 32:8 35
4 America de Cali W 16 11 2 3 29:8 35
5 Inter Bogotá W 16 9 2 5 22:14 29
6 Indep. Santa Fe W 16 7 5 4 27:15 26
7 Inter Palmira W 16 7 5 4 15:17 26
8 Orsomarso W 16 5 7 4 18:14 22
9 Ind. Medellin W 16 6 1 9 21:22 19
10 Fortaleza W 16 4 5 7 14:23 17
11 Bucaramanga W 16 5 2 9 15:34 17
12 Llaneros W 16 3 4 9 11:33 13
13 Junior W 16 2 6 8 12:24 12
14 Real Santander W 16 1 7 8 4:22 10
15 Once Caldas W 16 1 5 10 7:25 8
16 Dep. Pasto W 16 1 4 11 12:28 7
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)