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Onduparaka vs Buwambo United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Onduparaka host Buwambo United in the Big League. This one's hard to separate. Buwambo United have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Onduparaka have conceded 1.38 and scored 0.86. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.21 vs 0.35, favoring Onduparaka. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Onduparaka
30%
Draws
23%
Buwambo United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Onduparaka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Onduparaka have won more games recently than Buwambo United.
  • Onduparaka are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Onduparaka Clean Sheet 20%
Buwambo United Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Onduparaka Buwambo United
Matches Played 29 5
Wins 8 0
Draws 8 2
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 0.86 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 0.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Onduparaka 40 / 100
Buwambo United 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Onduparaka Buwambo United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Onduparaka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buwambo United let in goals in 100% of their last 5 matches.

Onduparaka found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Buwambo United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Onduparaka has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Onduparaka VS Buwambo United
0.75 Goals Scored 0.33
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.67
38% Over 1.5 67%
0% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Onduparaka

(Home)
01 Nov
SC Volcanoes
4 : 0
Onduparaka
25 Oct
Onduparaka
1 : 0
Rwenzori Lions
18 Oct
Pakwach Young Stars
1 : 1
Onduparaka
11 Oct
Onduparaka
1 : 2
Paidha Black Angels
27 Sept
Kiyinda Boys
3 : 1
Onduparaka
Page 1 of 6

Buwambo United

(Away)
01 Nov
Buwambo United
1 : 1
Iganga United
25 Oct
Catda
4 : 0
Buwambo United
18 Oct
Buwambo United
0 : 1
Calvary
04 Oct
Amus College FC
3 : 0
Buwambo United
27 Sept
Buwambo United
1 : 1
Young Elephant Academy

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paidha Black Angels 6 5 0 1 8:5 15
2 Kiyinda Boys 6 4 1 1 9:3 13
3 Catda 6 4 0 2 8:2 12
4 SC Volcanoes 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
5 Young Elephant Academy 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
6 Calvary 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
7 Amus College FC 5 3 1 1 9:1 10
8 Rwenzori Lions 7 2 2 3 6:6 8
9 Pakwach Young Stars 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
10 Iganga United 7 1 1 5 3:7 4
11 Onduparaka 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
12 Kaaro Karungi 7 0 3 4 2:13 3
13 Buwambo United 5 0 2 3 2:10 2
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)