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Onduparaka vs Rwenzori Lions - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Big League
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AI Match Summary

Onduparaka in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Onduparaka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Onduparaka
30%
Draws
39%
Rwenzori Lions
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rwenzori Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Onduparaka have won more games recently than Rwenzori Lions.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Onduparaka Clean Sheet 20%
Rwenzori Lions Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Onduparaka Rwenzori Lions
Matches Played 29 8
Wins 8 2
Draws 8 2
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 0.86 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Big League
Onduparaka vs Rwenzori Lions
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Onduparaka 32 / 100
Rwenzori Lions 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Onduparaka Rwenzori Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Onduparaka found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Rwenzori Lions has conceded goals in 63% of their last 8 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Onduparaka remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Onduparaka VS Rwenzori Lions
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Onduparaka

(Home)
01 Nov
SC Volcanoes
4 : 0
Onduparaka
25 Oct
Onduparaka
1 : 0
Rwenzori Lions
18 Oct
Pakwach Young Stars
1 : 1
Onduparaka
11 Oct
Onduparaka
1 : 2
Paidha Black Angels
27 Sept
Kiyinda Boys
3 : 1
Onduparaka
Page 1 of 6

Rwenzori Lions

(Away)
05 Nov
Young Elephant Academy
2 : 1
Rwenzori Lions
01 Nov
Rwenzori Lions
4 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
25 Oct
Onduparaka
1 : 0
Rwenzori Lions
18 Oct
Rwenzori Lions
0 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
13 Oct
Kaaro Karungi
0 : 0
Rwenzori Lions
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paidha Black Angels 6 5 0 1 8:5 15
2 Kiyinda Boys 6 4 1 1 9:3 13
3 Catda 6 4 0 2 8:2 12
4 SC Volcanoes 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
5 Young Elephant Academy 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
6 Calvary 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
7 Amus College FC 5 3 1 1 9:1 10
8 Rwenzori Lions 7 2 2 3 6:6 8
9 Pakwach Young Stars 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
10 Iganga United 7 1 1 5 3:7 4
11 Onduparaka 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
12 Kaaro Karungi 7 0 3 4 2:13 3
13 Buwambo United 5 0 2 3 2:10 2
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