Sport Picks

Stadium Background

One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence

USA USA

USL League One 2025 Regal Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Haugli S.
Assist: Tekiela K.
64' Event
Zarokostas S.
Assist: Tekiela K.
70'
Sub
Johnson C. In: Kelly-Rosales A.
Out: Johnson C.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One 2025 game between One Knoxville and Charlotte Independence finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward One Knoxville.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
One Knoxville
11%
Draws
9%
Charlotte Independence
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: One Knoxville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • One Knoxville carry the better recent record into this one.
  • One Knoxville are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 12%
Charlotte Independence Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric One Knoxville Charlotte Independence
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 21 17
Draws 3 3
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.38 2.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence
2:1
Sep 26, 2025 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence
1:0
Jul 30, 2025 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence
2:2
May 16, 2025 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

One Knoxville Compare

Top Goalscorer Haugli S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zarokostas S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Charlotte Independence Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaney C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

One Knoxville 74 / 100
Charlotte Independence 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
One Knoxville Charlotte Independence

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ONE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: One Knoxville scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Charlotte Independence's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Solid form: One Knoxville remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

One Knoxville VS Charlotte Independence
2.38 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
One Knoxville2
Charlotte Independence1
FC Naples1
Union Omaha0
Spokane Velocity2
South Georgia Tormenta1
Chattanooga Red Wolves0
Portland Hearts of Pine1
Semi-finals
One Knoxville1
FC Naples0
Spokane Velocity3
Portland Hearts of Pine2
Final
One Knoxville2
Spokane Velocity0