Sport Picks

Stadium Background

One Knoxville vs Forward Madison

USA USA

USL League One Regal Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Carmichael K.
16' Event
Murphy Jr. J.
24' Event
Humphrey T.
Assist: Torres R.

AI Match Summary

Forward Madison in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Forward Madison.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
One Knoxville
20%
Draws
38%
Forward Madison
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: One Knoxville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Forward Madison haven't matched One Knoxville's recent run of results.
  • One Knoxville are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 18%
Forward Madison Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric One Knoxville Forward Madison
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 21 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Forward Madison
1:2
Aug 10, 2025 USL League One
Forward Madison vs One Knoxville
2:2
Jun 28, 2025 USL Cup
Forward Madison vs One Knoxville
1:0
May 9, 2025 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Forward Madison
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 USL League One
Forward Madison vs One Knoxville
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

One Knoxville Compare

Top Goalscorer Murphy Jr. J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Forward Madison Compare

Top Goalscorer Humphrey T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gyamfi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

One Knoxville 41 / 100
Forward Madison 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
One Knoxville Forward Madison

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

One Knoxville scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

One Knoxville went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Forward Madison's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

One Knoxville VS Forward Madison
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha16101525:1831
2Charlotte Independence1493234:1830
3One Knoxville1493226:1230
4AV Alta FC1667323:1825
5Athletic Club Boise1673623:2324
6Fort Wayne1466220:1224
7Forward Madison1372422:1423
8Spokane Velocity1572617:2123
9Portland Hearts of Pine1555524:2420
10Chattanooga Red Wolves1261522:1519
11Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
12Corpus Christi FC1646620:2618
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1542923:2314
15Greenville Triumph1342714:2114
16Richmond Kickers1433812:2412
17New York Cosmos14311017:3310