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Stadium Background

One Knoxville vs Texoma FC

USA USA

USL League One 2025 Regal Stadium, Knoxville, TN
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Spengler A.
45'
Staszewski P.
51'
Valentine R.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One 2025 game between One Knoxville and Texoma FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward One Knoxville.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
One Knoxville
44%
Draws
20%
Texoma FC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and One Knoxville come out ahead of Texoma FC on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 16%
Texoma FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric One Knoxville Texoma FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Texoma FC
2:1
Mar 23, 2025 USL League One
Texoma FC vs One Knoxville
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

One Knoxville Compare

Top Goalscorer Diene B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Texoma FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Baker T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

One Knoxville 36 / 100
Texoma FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
One Knoxville Texoma FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEX Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

One Knoxville scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Texoma FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: One Knoxville remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

One Knoxville VS Texoma FC
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

One Knoxville

(Home)
25 Jul
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0
One Knoxville
18 Jul
One Knoxville
2 : 3
AV Alta FC
15 Jul
One Knoxville
2 : 1
Fort Wayne
12 Jul
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 2
One Knoxville
03 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 2
One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6

Texoma FC

(Away)
17 Jul
Laredo Heat
2 : 0
Texoma FC
12 Jul
McKinney Chupacabras
1 : 2
Texoma FC
08 Jul
Texoma FC
3 : 2
Denton Diablos
05 Jul
McKinney Chupacabras
0 : 2
Texoma FC
28 Jun
Lubbock Matadors
1 : 2
Texoma FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1One Knoxville30169543:2657
2Chattanooga Red Wolves301510542:3055
3Spokane Velocity30149741:3551
4FC Naples30138940:3247
5Union Omaha301371051:3946
6South Georgia Tormenta301361155:4745
7Portland Hearts of Pine301112748:3845
8Charlotte Independence301071345:5037
9AV Alta FC308121042:4736
10Forward Madison308111131:4335
11Greenville Triumph30881438:4332
12Texoma FC30791435:5530
13Richmond Kickers30851743:5329
14Westchester SC30591643:5924
Promotion - USL League One 2025 (Play Offs)