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Onehunga vs Wellington Olympic

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2019
Sat, Aug 3, 2019
5 - 4
01:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-4, with Onehunga advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Onehunga
15%
Draws
34%
Wellington Olympic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Onehunga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wellington Olympic come out ahead of Onehunga on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Onehunga taking it.
  • Wellington Olympic arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Onehunga, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Onehunga Clean Sheet 12%
Wellington Olympic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Onehunga Wellington Olympic
Matches Played 14 35
Wins 10 21
Draws 0 4
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 2.21 2.83
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2019 Chatham Cup
Onehunga vs Wellington Olympic
5:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Onehunga 40 / 100
Wellington Olympic 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Onehunga Wellington Olympic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Onehunga scored in 86% of their last 14 games.

Wellington Olympic has conceded goals in 83% of their last 35 outings.

H2H data points to 9.00 goals as a typical output.

Onehunga has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Wellington Olympic
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Onehunga

(Home)
25 Aug
Napier City
2 : 1
Onehunga
03 Aug
Onehunga
5 : 4
Wellington Olympic
06 Jul
Onehunga
2 : 0
North Shore
04 Aug
Onehunga
1 : 4
Western Suburbs
14 Jul
Melville
1 : 3
Onehunga
Page 1 of 3

Wellington Olympic

(Away)
13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Auckland City
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1
Miramar
30 Nov
Auckland United
0 : 3
Wellington Olympic
21 Nov
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Christchurch
15 Nov
Auckland FC 2
2 : 1
Wellington Olympic
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Roslyn Wakari 2
Caversham 3
Bay Olympic 3
Manukau United 0
Waitakere City 1
Melville 3
Christchurch 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 1
Napier City 4
Western Suburbs 1
Albany 1
Eastern Suburbs 0
Onehunga 2
North Shore 0
Miramar 1
Wellington Olympic 3
Quarter-finals
Caversham 1
Bay Olympic 2
Melville 4
Christchurch 0
Napier City 3
Albany 2
Onehunga 5
Wellington Olympic 4
Semi-finals
Bay Olympic 0
Melville 2
Napier City 2
Onehunga 1
Final
Melville 2
Napier City 3