Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ONS Oulu W vs TPS W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Iida-Elena P.
83' Event
Jamsa M.

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Ykkonen Women game between ONS Oulu W and TPS W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
ONS Oulu W
15%
Draws
46%
TPS W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • TPS W haven't matched ONS Oulu W's recent run of results.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on ONS Oulu W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
ONS Oulu W Clean Sheet 16%
TPS W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ONS Oulu W TPS W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.93 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs ONS Oulu W
0:2
May 23, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
ONS Oulu W vs TPS W
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs ONS Oulu W
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
ONS Oulu W vs TPS W
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs ONS Oulu W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ONS Oulu W Compare

Top Goalscorer Iida-Elena P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

TPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jamsa M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ONS Oulu W 84 / 100
TPS W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ONS Oulu W TPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ONS Oulu W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TPS W has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

ONS Oulu W scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

ONS Oulu W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

ONS Oulu W VS TPS W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

ONS Oulu W

(Home)
12 Sept
TPS W
0 : 2
ONS Oulu W
29 Aug
ONS Oulu W
1 : 1
Keski-Uusimaa W
22 Aug
KTP W
0 : 5
ONS Oulu W
16 Aug
ONS Oulu W
6 : 0
HJK Akatemia W
08 Aug
Lahti W
2 : 1
ONS Oulu W
Page 1 of 6

TPS W

(Away)
12 Sept
TPS W
0 : 2
ONS Oulu W
31 Aug
KTP W
2 : 3
TPS W
22 Aug
TPS W
4 : 2
Lahti W
17 Aug
Keski-Uusimaa W
2 : 3
TPS W
12 Aug
TPS W
3 : 1
HJK Akatemia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EBK W 18 14 3 1 49:13 45
2 Honka W 18 10 4 4 27:13 34
3 HJS W 18 9 3 6 37:27 30
4 JyPK W 18 9 2 7 35:27 29
5 HJK Akatemia W 18 8 4 6 37:30 28
6 ONS Oulu W 18 7 4 7 24:22 25
7 Keski-Uusimaa W 18 6 2 10 30:38 20
8 TPS W 18 3 7 8 20:37 16
9 KTP W 18 5 0 13 21:50 15
10 Lahti W 18 3 3 12 23:46 12
Relegation - Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Relegation Group)