Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ONS Sneek vs DVS '33 Ermelo

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
van Lingen O.
41' Event
Patrick J.
77' Event
Ozturk O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

DVS '33 Ermelo in this Derde Divisie 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored DVS '33 Ermelo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
ONS Sneek
30%
Draws
58%
DVS '33 Ermelo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: DVS '33 Ermelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • DVS '33 Ermelo have won more games recently than ONS Sneek.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on DVS '33 Ermelo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
ONS Sneek Clean Sheet 14%
DVS '33 Ermelo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ONS Sneek DVS '33 Ermelo
Matches Played 20 28
Wins 2 11
Draws 3 9
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.15 1.64
Goals Conceded 3.5 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2020 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs ONS Sneek
0:0
Oct 5, 2019 Derde Divisie
ONS Sneek vs DVS '33 Ermelo
1:2
May 18, 2019 Derde Divisie
ONS Sneek vs DVS '33 Ermelo
1:3
Sep 22, 2018 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs ONS Sneek
0:0
May 5, 2018 Derde Divisie
ONS Sneek vs DVS '33 Ermelo
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ONS Sneek Compare

Top Goalscorer van Lingen O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

DVS '33 Ermelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrick J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ONS Sneek 10 / 100
DVS '33 Ermelo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ONS Sneek DVS '33 Ermelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DVS '33 Ermelo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ONS Sneek scored in 80% of their last 20 games.

Defensive concern: DVS '33 Ermelo conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

ONS Sneek has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS DVS '33 Ermelo
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

ONS Sneek

(Home)
03 Sept
SV Poortugaal
3 : 1
ONS Sneek
12 Aug
Sparta Nijkerk
2 : 0
ONS Sneek
09 Jul
Cambuur
11 : 0
ONS Sneek
07 Mar
Sparta Nijkerk
4 : 1
ONS Sneek
29 Feb
ONS Sneek
1 : 1
GOES
Page 1 of 4

DVS '33 Ermelo

(Away)
12 Sept
TEC
4 : 4
DVS '33 Ermelo
05 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 3
Sparta Nijkerk
02 Sept
ATC 65
1 : 2
DVS '33 Ermelo
29 Aug
ACV Assen
1 : 1
DVS '33 Ermelo
22 Aug
DVS '33 Ermelo
0 : 1
Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sparta Nijkerk 22 17 1 4 58:27 52
2 ODIN '59 22 15 2 5 63:30 47
3 Harkemase Boys 22 13 3 6 43:34 42
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 23 13 3 7 39:30 42
5 Lisse 23 11 5 7 44:33 38
6 HSV Hoek 23 10 4 9 54:42 34
7 Barendrecht 23 10 4 9 37:38 34
8 Excelsior 31 23 9 4 10 50:40 31
9 Jong Almere City 23 9 4 10 54:48 31
10 Ajax (Am) 22 9 4 9 31:38 31
11 GOES 23 9 4 10 33:44 31
12 VVSB 22 8 4 10 47:48 28
13 SteDoCo 22 7 7 8 41:42 28
14 Ter Leede 23 7 6 10 36:53 27
15 VV DOVO 23 6 4 13 45:55 22
16 ONS Sneek 23 2 6 15 32:72 12
17 VVOG 22 2 5 15 26:59 11
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC OSS '20 22 16 5 1 55:24 53
2 Jong Den Haag 22 12 3 7 47:36 39
3 OFC Oostzaan 22 11 3 8 38:27 36
4 Gemert 22 10 5 7 42:42 35
5 Dongen 20 9 7 4 34:19 34
6 UNA 22 8 8 6 35:39 32
7 EVV 22 8 7 7 30:27 31
8 Blauw Geel 22 8 5 9 38:38 29
9 HSC '21 22 8 5 9 34:39 29
10 DEM 22 7 6 9 31:31 27
11 USV Hercules 21 8 3 10 35:38 27
12 Groene Ster 22 7 6 9 28:33 27
13 HV & CV Quick 21 7 5 9 29:26 26
14 Westlandia 22 6 6 10 31:40 24
15 ADO 20 Heemskerk 21 5 6 10 29:35 21
16 Lienden 21 4 6 11 17:39 18
17 Hoogland 22 3 8 11 31:51 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)