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Onsala vs Hestrafors

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland Rydets IP, Onsala
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Stockman H.
19' Event
Parker S.
34' Event
Brodin O.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Västra Götaland game between Onsala and Hestrafors finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Onsala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Onsala
6%
Draws
90%
Hestrafors
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hestrafors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hestrafors come out ahead of Onsala on wins alone.
  • Hestrafors are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Västra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Onsala here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Onsala Clean Sheet 10%
Hestrafors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Onsala Hestrafors
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.88 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Onsala vs Hestrafors
5:1
Aug 23, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Onsala vs Hestrafors
0:1
May 23, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Hestrafors vs Onsala
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Onsala Compare

Top Goalscorer Stockman H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parker S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Hestrafors Compare

Top Goalscorer Brodin O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Onsala 10 / 100
Hestrafors 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Onsala Hestrafors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Onsala scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Hestrafors let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Onsala has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Onsala VS Hestrafors
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Onsala

(Home)
26 Jun
Onsala
2 : 4
Landvetter
18 Jun
Boljan
1 : 2
Onsala
14 Jun
Onsala
1 : 1
Torslanda
11 Jun
Frolunda
4 : 2
Onsala
07 Jun
Dalstorps
3 : 1
Onsala
Page 1 of 6

Hestrafors

(Away)
27 Jun
BK Astrio
1 : 2
Hestrafors
17 Jun
Kongahalla
0 : 3
Hestrafors
11 Jun
Hestrafors
2 : 3
Dalstorps
06 Jun
Torslanda
2 : 2
Hestrafors
29 May
Hestrafors
3 : 1
Boljan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Landvetter14111225:834
2Frolunda1475232:1926
3Dalstorps1475227:1626
4Jonsereds1473423:2324
5Hestrafors1472529:2523
6Lindome1464426:2222
7Boljan1455420:1920
8Qviding1453629:2918
9Onsala1445521:2417
10Torslanda1437418:2016
11Astorps1435618:2714
12Kongahalla1425714:2711
13Galtabacks1423920:259
14BK Astrio14131010:286
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland (Relegation)