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Onsala vs Tolo IF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2023
Onsala Logo

Onsala

2 - 1
FT
Tolo IF Logo

Tolo IF

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Onsala in this Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Onsala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Onsala
20%
Draws
36%
Tolo IF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Onsala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Onsala lately — more wins on the board than Tolo IF.
  • Model gives Onsala a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Onsala Clean Sheet 20%
Tolo IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Onsala Tolo IF
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.58 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2023 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Onsala vs Tolo IF
2:1
Apr 1, 2023 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Tolo IF vs Onsala
0:0
Aug 13, 2022 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Onsala vs Tolo IF
1:1
Apr 24, 2022 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Tolo IF vs Onsala
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Onsala 42 / 100
Tolo IF 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Onsala Tolo IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Onsala's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Tolo IF let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Onsala remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Onsala VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Onsala

(Home)
27 Sept
Onsala
1 : 2
Qviding
19 Sept
BK Astrio
0 : 2
Onsala
12 Sept
Onsala
2 : 0
Galtabacks
05 Sept
Frolunda
3 : 1
Onsala
29 Aug
Onsala
0 : 2
Dalstorps
Page 1 of 7

Tolo IF

(Away)
22 Oct
Tolo IF
0 : 1
Savedalen
14 Oct
Husqvarna
1 : 1
Tolo IF
08 Oct
Tolo IF
1 : 1
Laholms
30 Sept
Tolo IF
2 : 0
Lindome
23 Sept
Nassjo
3 : 2
Tolo IF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Onsala 26 16 2 8 51:29 50
2 Frolunda 26 15 5 6 49:38 50
3 BK Astrio 26 15 4 7 40:24 49
4 Tord 26 13 3 10 49:39 42
5 Varbergs GIF 26 12 5 9 45:42 41
6 Husqvarna 26 11 6 9 47:33 39
7 Laholms 26 11 3 12 36:39 36
8 Qviding 26 10 4 12 56:52 34
9 Lindome 26 10 3 13 44:46 33
10 Landvetter 26 9 5 12 35:47 32
11 Savedalen 26 9 4 13 37:45 31
12 Hittarp 26 8 7 11 43:59 31
13 Tolo IF 26 7 9 10 32:38 30
14 Nassjo 26 3 6 17 25:58 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2023 (Relegation)