Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ontinyent vs Jaen

Spain Spain

Copa del Rey 2018/2019
Wed, Sep 12, 2018
2 - 1
05:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Torres D.
36'
Sanchez J.
40' Event
Armero V.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Ontinyent advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ontinyent
15%
Draws
85%
Jaen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jaen come out ahead of Ontinyent on wins alone.
  • Model gives Jaen a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Jaen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ontinyent, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Ontinyent Clean Sheet 19%
Jaen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ontinyent Jaen
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0.53 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2018 Copa del Rey
Ontinyent vs Jaen
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ontinyent Compare

Top Goalscorer Zarzo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Jaen Compare

Top Goalscorer Armero V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ontinyent 10 / 100
Jaen 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ontinyent Jaen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaen let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Ontinyent scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Jaen has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jaen
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ontinyent

(Home)
19 May
Lleida
1 : 0
Ontinyent
12 May
Ontinyent
0 : 1
CF Badalona
05 May
Valencia B
1 : 0
Ontinyent
28 Apr
Ontinyent
0 : 1
Levante B
21 Apr
Cornella
1 : 0
Ontinyent
Page 1 of 6

Jaen

(Away)
06 Aug
Jaen
1 : 2
Cordoba
01 Aug
Linares
0 : 2
Jaen
24 Jul
Cacereno
1 : 1
Jaen
31 May
Baleares
1 : 2
Jaen
24 May
Jaen
2 : 1
Baleares
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Barcelona -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lorca FC -
TBD -
Rapido de Bouzas 0
Unionistas de Salamanca 4
CF Fuenlabrada 3
DUX Internacional de Madrid 2
Navalcarnero 0
Leonesa 2
Lugo -
TBD -
TBD -
Albacete -
Extremadura UD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alcorcon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Levante -
Ath Bilbao -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Huesca -
Villanovense -
TBD -
TBD -
CF Badalona -
TBD -
TBD -
Barakaldo 1
Mutilvera 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sevilla -
Girona -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alaves -
Sant Andreu 2
Cornella 1
SCD Durango 0
Gernika Club 1
Castellon 1
Conquense 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega 1
CD Calahorra 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atl. Madrid -
Leganes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rayo Vallecano -
Melilla 2
Yeclano 1
TBD -
Tudelano -
Jaen 3
CF Talavera 2
UD Poblense 1
Ontinyent 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Madrid -
Betis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
UD Logrones 2
Langreo 1
Don Benito 0
FC Cartagena SAD 1
UCAM Murcia 2
AD Ceuta 0
Mirandes 0
Racing Santander 1
Celta Vigo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Sociedad -
Villarreal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reus FC Reddis -
TBD -
TBD -
Osasuna -
Malaga -
TBD -
TBD -
Almeria -
Cadiz -
TBD -
TBD -
Tenerife -
Dep. A Coruna -
TBD -
TBD -
Zaragoza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Espanyol -
Getafe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Elche -
TBD -
TBD -
Granada CF -
Gimnastic de Tarragona -
TBD -
TBD -
Cordoba -
Mallorca -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Oviedo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valladolid -
Gijon -
TBD -
TBD -
Numancia -
Las Palmas -
TBD -
TBD -
Rayo Majadahonda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eibar -
Ebro 1
Marbella 0
TBD -
Murcia -
Compostela 3
Mensajero 0
Teruel 0
Lleida 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valencia -
1/64-finals
Barcelona -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lorca FC 2
Unionistas de Salamanca 1
CF Fuenlabrada 1
Leonesa 2
Lugo 3
Albacete 2
Extremadura UD 0
Alcorcon 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Levante -
Ath Bilbao -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Huesca -
Villanovense 2
CF Badalona 1
TBD -
Mutilvera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sevilla -
Girona -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alaves -
Sant Andreu 1
Gernika Club 0
Castellon 0
CD Calahorra 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atl. Madrid -
Leganes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rayo Vallecano -
Melilla 3
Tudelano 0
Jaen 1
Ontinyent 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Madrid -
Betis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
UD Logrones 2
FC Cartagena SAD 1
UCAM Murcia 0
Racing Santander 2
Celta Vigo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Sociedad -
Villarreal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reus FC Reddis 2
Osasuna 1
Malaga 1
Almeria 2
Cadiz 2
Tenerife 1
Dep. A Coruna 1
Zaragoza 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Espanyol -
Getafe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Elche 2
Granada CF 1
Gimnastic de Tarragona 0
Cordoba 2
Mallorca 1
Real Oviedo 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valladolid -
Gijon 2
Numancia 1
Las Palmas 1
Rayo Majadahonda 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eibar -
Ebro 1
Murcia 0
Compostela 0
Lleida 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valencia -
1/32-finals
Barcelona -
TBD -
Lorca FC 0
Leonesa 3
Lugo 1
Alcorcon 0
TBD -
Levante -
Ath Bilbao -
TBD -
TBD -
Huesca -
Villanovense 3
Mutilvera 1
TBD -
Sevilla -
Girona -
TBD -
TBD -
Alaves -
Sant Andreu 1
CD Calahorra 0
TBD -
Atl. Madrid -
Leganes -
TBD -
TBD -
Rayo Vallecano -
Melilla 2
Ontinyent 0
TBD -
Real Madrid -
Betis -
TBD -
UD Logrones 0
Racing Santander 1
Celta Vigo -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Sociedad -
Villarreal -
TBD -
Reus FC Reddis 1
Almeria 3
Cadiz 1
Zaragoza 0
TBD -
Espanyol -
Getafe -
TBD -
Elche 1
Cordoba 4
Mallorca -
TBD -
TBD -
Valladolid -
Gijon 2
Rayo Majadahonda 1
TBD -
Eibar -
Ebro 2
Lleida 1
TBD -
Valencia -
1/16-finals
Barcelona 5
Leonesa 1
Lugo 1
Levante 3
Ath Bilbao 8
Huesca 0
Villanovense 0
Sevilla 1
Girona 4
Alaves 3
Sant Andreu 0
Atl. Madrid 5
Leganes 3
Rayo Vallecano 2
Melilla 1
Real Madrid 10
Betis 5
Racing Santander 0
Celta Vigo 1
Real Sociedad 3
Villarreal 11
Almeria 3
Cadiz 2
Espanyol 2
Getafe 7
Cordoba 2
Mallorca 2
Valladolid 4
Gijon 4
Eibar 2
Ebro 1
Valencia 3
1/8-finals
Barcelona 4
Levante 2
Ath Bilbao 2
Sevilla 3
Girona 4
Atl. Madrid 4
Leganes 1
Real Madrid 3
Betis 2
Real Sociedad 2
Villarreal 3
Espanyol 5
Getafe 2
Valladolid 1
Gijon 2
Valencia 4
Quarter-finals
Barcelona 6
Sevilla 3
Girona 3
Real Madrid 7
Betis 4
Espanyol 2
Getafe 2
Valencia 3
Semi-finals
Barcelona 4
Real Madrid 1
Betis 2
Valencia 3
Final
Barcelona 1
Valencia 2