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Onze Unidos vs Ultramarina

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional 2009 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Onze Unidos
17%
Draws
13%
Ultramarina
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Onze Unidos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Onze Unidos haven't matched Ultramarina's recent run of results.
  • Onze Unidos are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Onze Unidos Clean Sheet 20%
Ultramarina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Onze Unidos Ultramarina
Matches Played 21 32
Wins 7 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.67 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.67 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Ultramarina vs Onze Unidos
2:1
May 13, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Onze Unidos vs Ultramarina
2:1
Jun 6, 2009 Campeonato Nacional
Onze Unidos vs Ultramarina
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Onze Unidos 67 / 100
Ultramarina 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Onze Unidos Ultramarina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ONZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Onze Unidos found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (21 games).

Ultramarina has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Onze Unidos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Onze Unidos VS Ultramarina
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.67 Goals Conceded 2
83% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academica Praia541010:513
2Mindelense540113:412
3Ultramarina521211:67
4Onze Unidos52125:57
5Santa Maria50236:132
6Foguetoes50143:151
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting Praia541011:113
2SC do Porto Novo53029:69
3Vulcanico52123:47
4Morabeza52124:87
5Estrela dos Amadores52037:86
6Academica Boavista50142:91