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Operario AC vs Nautico MS

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2023
Sun, Jan 29, 2023
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Operario AC host Nautico MS in the Sul-Matogrossense 2023. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Operario AC have averaged 0.85 scored and 2.42 conceded recently, against Nautico MS's 0.75 scored and 2.63 conceded. Head-to-head, Operario AC have won 0 to Nautico MS's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2023, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 0.88) point toward Operario AC. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Operario AC
15%
Draws
0%
Nautico MS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Operario AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Operario AC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Operario AC a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Operario AC Clean Sheet 20%
Nautico MS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario AC Nautico MS
Matches Played 26 8
Wins 1 0
Draws 8 0
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.85 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.42 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Nautico MS vs Operario AC
0:0
Jan 29, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario AC vs Nautico MS
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario AC 67 / 100
Nautico MS 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario AC Nautico MS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario AC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nautico MS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 8 matches.

Difficult form: Nautico MS registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Operario AC found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (26 games).

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Operario AC VS Nautico MS
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario AC

(Home)
10 Nov
Operario AC
0 : 1
Naviraiense
03 Nov
Aguia Negra
1 : 0
Operario AC
27 Oct
Comercial MS
4 : 2
Operario AC
19 Oct
Operario AC
0 : 2
7 de Setembro
05 Oct
Naviraiense
1 : 1
Operario AC
Page 1 of 6

Nautico MS

(Away)
03 Mar
Nautico MS
1 : 3
Coxim
29 Feb
Nautico MS
3 : 4
Pantanal
17 Feb
Costa Rica
2 : 0
Nautico MS
14 Feb
Operario MS
2 : 0
Nautico MS
04 Feb
Coxim
3 : 1
Nautico MS
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 8 6 1 1 15:6 19
2 Operario MS 8 5 0 3 13:8 15
3 Chapadao 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Coxim 8 2 2 4 4:11 8
5 Comercial MS 8 0 2 6 4:12 2
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dourados 8 6 1 1 11:5 19
2 Ivinhema 8 3 2 3 14:9 11
3 Novoperario 8 3 2 3 11:10 11
4 Aquidauanense 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Operario AC 8 1 2 5 9:15 5
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)