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Operario AC vs Naviraiense

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Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024
Operario AC Logo

Operario AC

0 - 1
FT
Naviraiense Logo

Naviraiense

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024 game between Operario AC and Naviraiense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naviraiense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Operario AC
30%
Draws
62%
Naviraiense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Naviraiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Naviraiense come out ahead of Operario AC on wins alone.
  • Naviraiense are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Operario AC Clean Sheet 20%
Naviraiense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario AC Naviraiense
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 1 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.85 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.42 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Operario AC vs Naviraiense
0:1
Oct 5, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Naviraiense vs Operario AC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario AC 24 / 100
Naviraiense 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario AC Naviraiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naviraiense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naviraiense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Operario AC found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (26 games).

Operario AC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Naviraiense
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario AC

(Home)
10 Nov
Operario AC
0 : 1
Naviraiense
03 Nov
Aguia Negra
1 : 0
Operario AC
27 Oct
Comercial MS
4 : 2
Operario AC
19 Oct
Operario AC
0 : 2
7 de Setembro
05 Oct
Naviraiense
1 : 1
Operario AC
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Naviraiense

(Away)
18 Mar
Naviraiense
0 : 4
Bataguassu
15 Mar
Bataguassu
0 : 1
Naviraiense
01 Mar
Aguia Negra
1 : 2
Naviraiense
22 Feb
Naviraiense
0 : 0
Operario MS
15 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Naviraiense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naviraiense 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
2 Aguia Negra 8 4 3 1 10:6 15
3 7 de Setembro 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
4 Comercial MS 8 2 1 5 11:17 7
5 Operario AC 8 0 3 5 6:13 3
6 Misto 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Main)